Tag Archives: United States

The United States and the European governments will default on their debt, eventually — dixit Marc Faber. [PREDICTIONS]

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 11, 2010 — Leave a Comment

Singapore is the safest.
2:15 into

Download this post to watch the video —if your feed reader does not show it to you.
Via Joe Weisenthal

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, Predictions - Forecasts, The Global Economy | Also tagged debt, E.U., economic forecasts, economic predictions, economy, European Union, Finance, Financial Markets, forecasts, governments, Marc Faber, Predictions, public debt, United States Of America, US economy, US government, USA

HR 2267 = a bill that would legalize Internet gambling in the United States

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 12, 2010 — Leave a Comment

Will happen in 2010.
Bye bye UIGEA.

Posted in Betting, Gambling, Regulations | Also tagged America, Betting, betting laws, Gambling, gambling laws, HR 2267, Internet betting, Internet betting and gambling, Internet gambling, Jon Kyl, laws, Regulations, UIGEA, United States Of America, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 29, 2008 — 2 Comments

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets.
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The Forrester executive summary:
The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, and, as a result, many are now looking to prediction markets — speculative markets in which traders collectively [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, Boston Consulting Group, Calgary, California, Canada, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, Client Resource Center, Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, David Perry, David Shahar, Director, EDS, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, Exago, Forrester, France, George Mason University, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Services & HP Labs, IBM, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, KPMG, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Microsoft, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pedro Da Cunha, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Rawls College of Business, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, software for prediction markets, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech University, University of Kansas, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Business School, Virginia, Virtual Specialist, VP Business development, VP R&D, wisdom of crowds, Yahoo!

Barney Frank’s Payment System Protection Act (HR6870)

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 2, 2008 — Leave a Comment

… is a shitty bill… since it excludes sports betting.
RELATED: A news article (in French) implies, between the lines, that BetFair (who always respected the US laws) should be later granted a license to operate in the US, the day it becomes legal, while InTrade-TradeSports (who didn’t) should not be granted a license. Hummm…
EXTERNAL LINK: [...]

Posted in Regulations | Also tagged Barney Frank, Betting, Gambling, iMEGA, Internet betting and gambling, laws, Payment System Protection Act, Payment System Protection Act (HR6870), Regulations, UIGEA, United States Of America, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, USA

Hubdub Election Map Released (Including Dynamic Widget)

Written by Nigel Eccles on September 24, 2008 — Leave a Comment

We’ve just released our 2008 Presidential Election Map. The map is based on markets for all 50 states. In addition to the page there is a map widget (displayed above). The widget goes into feed readers and also dynamically updates on a page refresh. Click on the widget above to access the code snippet.
It has [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presdiential elections, Barack Obama, charting systems, charts, dynamic charts, HubDub, John McCain, Politics, prediction markets, United States presidential election 2008, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections

Nobel laureate Gary Becker and judge Richard Posner both wish that, one day, real-money prediction markets will be legal, without restrictions, in the United States of America.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 16, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Via David Pennock of Odd Head fame
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Gary Becker:
[...] I believe that online political prediction markets, and other online prediction markets as well, should be legal in the United States and elsewhere, even if the amounts bet were quite large. There is no important substantive difference between such online betting markets and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Also tagged accuracy, bet exchanges, betting exchanges, betting markets, derivative exchanges, derivative markets, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Gary Becker, IEM, Iowa Electronic Markets, laws, legality, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Regulations, Richard Posner, social utility, speculation, United States Of America, US, USA

InTrade’s US Recession 2008

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 5, 2008 — 1 Comment

= USA two Consecutive Quarters of Negative Final (but Unrevised) GDP
Felix Salmon’s rebuttal.
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Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Also tagged Felix Salmon, InTrade, prediction markets, US recession

Regulated U.S. election markets might not be so hard.

Written by Jason Ruspini on August 3, 2008 — 18 Comments

Based on the arguments Hedgestreet presented in its response to the CFTC on event markets, the exchange has a fairly strong justification to self-certify and begin trading election futures, soon. While most event markets trade as binary options, and the CFTC has flexible discretion over options per 7 U.S.C. § 6c(b), the Commission does not [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Also tagged America, CFTC, Chicago Mercantile Echange, CME Group, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Federal Reserve System, HedgeStreet, law preemption, laws, political prediction markets, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, South Carolina, United States Of America, USA

BBC’s Panorama, the most famous investigative TV news show of British television (the equivalent of CBS’s 60 Minutes in the US), will air a segment on sport corruption and insider trading in the world of betting, on Wednesday, July 30, 2008.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 26, 2008 — 13 Comments

Panorama:
BBC One
Panorama
Wed 30 Jul, 9:00 pm – 10:00 pm 60mins
Nearly six years after its award-winning expose of corruption in horse racing, Panorama returns to the sport of kings to investigate the world of betting. Paul Kenyon reveals why those running the sport are so concerned about gamblers betting large sums of money on horses [...]

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Also tagged BBC, BBC One, bet exchanges, Betdaq, BetFair, Betting, betting exchanges, CBS, event derivative markets, event derivatives, horse betting, horse racing, insider trading, Panorama, Paul Kenyon, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Pure Digital Flipvideo Camcorder 60mins Blk, real-money prediction markets, sport corruption, United Kingdom

Why Robin Hanson is right to freak out about the upcoming CFTC ruling on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 23, 2008 — 1 Comment

Robin Hanson is trembling in his pants:
Coming soon after speculators were blamed for rising commodity prices, I fear this is bad news for hopes for legal prediction markets anytime soon.
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The CFTC decisions are politically sensible in 4 areas:

The CFTC will never allow real-money prediction markets on sports. That’s too close to gambling, for some critics. [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Also tagged BetFair, CFTC, CME Group, event derivative markets, event derivatives, insider trading, laws, Orange, particular presidential candidate, Politics, prediction markets, President, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robin Hanson, Sports, terrorism, Tom W. Bell

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Tag Archives: United States

The United States and the European governments will default on their debt, eventually — dixit Marc Faber. [PREDICTIONS]

HR 2267 = a bill that would legalize Internet gambling in the United States

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Barney Frank’s Payment System Protection Act (HR6870)

Hubdub Election Map Released (Including Dynamic Widget)

InTrade’s US Recession 2008

Regulated U.S. election markets might not be so hard.

BBC’s Panorama, the most famous investigative TV news show of British television (the equivalent of CBS’s 60 Minutes in the US), will air a segment on sport corruption and insider trading in the world of betting, on Wednesday, July 30, 2008.

Why Robin Hanson is right to freak out about the upcoming CFTC ruling on “event markets” (prediction markets)

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