Question asked on May 5, 2011 (United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum):
At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?
Here’-s BetFair’-s prediction market on the YES side:
Tipped by Mike Robb.
– In the Harry Finlay case, the BHA appeal panel says that in its view, “-a clear distinction needs to be drawn between a lay bet placed as part of a corrupt practice or even conspiracy and a betting strategy which has not interfered in any way with the integrity of the race and in particular the running of the horse in question.”-
All links thru Niall O’-Connor, who also alerts us about the future BetFair flotation.
The “-betometer”- concept was poorly conceived. However, overall, it is a good tactic. It is a win.
Global warming due to human-produced CO2 is the biggest scientific imposture of all times.
These 3 political leaders are all wrong.
Gordon Brown’-s gaffe (“-bigoted woman”-, Gillian Duffy):
Via Daniel Horowitz
So what effect did the UK‘-s first ever televised prime ministerial debate featuring Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg have on the political betting market?
Before the debate, the betting market on Betfair regarding who if anybody would secure an overall majority was as follows- Conservative Majority 1.75- No Overall Majority 2.68- Labour Majority 17.0.
After the debate, the market was betting as follows: Conservative Majority 1.83- No Overall Majority 2.54- Labour Majority 17.5.
Consensus opinion held that the Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg had performed best, and, there is little doubt that this debate represented a significant turning points as regards the publics perception of him. If he performs as well in the next two debates, this will have serious implications as regards the probability of a hung parliament. Accordingly, one would anticipate that the odds on No Overall Majority are likely to shorten further ahead of the actual election.