Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Chris F. Masse

Let’s use Google Wave to interact with all the prediction market fanboys.

chrisfmasse
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googlewave
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I am trying to learn how to use Google Wave. First impression: Very weird.
For the Google Wave invite, I thank Martin Frindt of http://www.crowdpark.de/.
UPDATE: Jed says I will get the invite wave in a few days. Patience. I will then be able to invite friends of mine.

Please, be my friend on FaceBook.

Our good friend George Tziralis has 505 friends on FaceBook.
Our good friend Mike Linksvayer has 762.
I have only 61.
I feel ridiculous. I am sure people laugh at me in my back about that low number. I need to have at least 100 friends. Help me.
P.S.: I have been focusing more on my LinkedIn network. See [...]

Why I unsubscribed to John Delaney (InTrade) and Jed Christiansen at Twitter

I try to “follow” as many prediction market people on Twitter as I can (click on “following”), but I had to unfollow these 2 persons because:
- I like Jed a lot, but he often tweets about his private life. I wouldn’t mind, but the problem is that I follow 70 people, and if they all [...]

Could prediction markets help solve a crime?

I have been asked many times by Kruijs on HubDub to update people about the prediction markets created about moi. So, here it is. But, first, a little background. Since the beginning of this year, I have adopted a new stance, as you have seen if you follow Midas Oracle. I am much more skeptical [...]

Statement about Midas Oracle

A spat of free publicity for Midas Oracle appeared recently on the PMIA’s e-mailing list, which could be sum up like this: “For the prediction market industry, Midas Oracle is both indispensable and pesky.” I usually don’t comment on what people say on that unmoderated e-mailing list because its content is of very low quality. [...]

The truth about (enterprise) prediction markets

Paul Hewitt:
[...] In virtually every case, the prediction market forecast is closer to the official HP forecast than it is to the actual outcome. Perhaps these markets are better at forecasting the forecast than they are at forecasting the outcome! Looking further into the results, while most of the predictions have a smaller error than [...]

250 members of the LinkedIn group on prediction markets

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1. How To Join Us

From within LinkedIn, FaceBook, or Google Reader / Google Mail, send me (Chris Masse) an invite and I’ll accept it.
You are also invited to join the Prediction Markets group at LinkedIn. We accept everybody (traders, analysts, researchers, consultants, exchange managers, bloggers, etc.).

[As for joining Midas Oracle as a commenter or poster, [...]

“Chris F. Masse is a Fraud.”

“Chris F. Masse is a Fraud.”
http://www.chrismasse.com/
Via mister Cowgill.
UPDATE: The website is down, now. The text has been republished here.

The truth about prediction markets

Come to the wonderful world of collective intelligence, wisdom of crowds, and prediction markets!… The sun shines bright, the market-generated predictions are vastly superior to the polls as election predictors, and the track record of the public prediction markets stretches as far as the eye can see. There are opportunities aplenty in the field of [...]

Prediction Markets in India

Eric Zitzewitz (in the November 2008 edition of The Analyst, an Indian publication for financial analysts):
I think the CFTC is likely to define a set of limits which, if followed, will subject a prediction [exchange] to CFTC regulation which will hopefully be lighter than their regulation of HedgeStreet (which essentially was so heavy-handed it killed [...]

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