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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Monthly Archives: September 2008
InTrade has surpassed BetFair and TradeSports (and the Iowa Electronic Markets, too).
InTrade’s PageRank is now 7 / 10 —while all the other major prediction market firms are at 6 / 10. It shows that the prediction market approach is paying off. Do provide journalist-friendly objective probabilistic predictions (expressed in percentages –not … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce
Tagged BetFair, betting exchanges, betting markets, business models, economists, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, free publicity, Google PageRank, IEM, Internet Marketing, InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, Journalism, journalists, marketing, media coverage, PageRank, PR, prediction exchanges, prediction market approach, prediction markets, public relations, TradeSports
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Google PageRank of Prediction Exchange Sites and Prediction Market Blogs
Just a short note for the webmasters of prediction exchange websites or the independent bloggers out there: – Google is refreshing its PageRank system, this week. (More exactly, Google is refreshing the user interface of its PageRank system. The PR … Continue reading
FAIL
Technical Note: If you are not able to see the right end of the huge chart below, read my info-tech tips over there. – -
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Bailout, economy, financial bailout, financial crisis, financial rescue, global economy, Paulson plan, US Congess, US economy, US Federal Reserve, US Treasury
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2 Democratic-leaning columnists who used to deride the prediction markets are now over-quoting them —now that those prediction markets are predicting a landslide for Barack Obama come November 2008.
- Paul Krugman – Today: A real little PM fanboy. – Yesterday: Overly critical. (See Eric Zitzewitz’s comment.) – Daniel Gross – Today: A real little PM fanboy. (See towards the end.) – Yesterday: Overly critical. – As for the … Continue reading
Posted in Politics, Prediction Journalism
Tagged Daniel Gross, Donald Luskin, Paul Krugman, prediction markets
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Exago Markets have created their own software for enterprise prediction markets.
Dixit the co-founder and CEO, Pedro da Cunha. CDA with an automated market maker. OK, so I am going to list them here, here, and here. Best wishes to them. -
Posted in Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Software
Tagged Business, consultancy firms, consultants, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Exago Markets, internal prediction markets, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, software for prediction markets
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Yahoo! News finally links to InTrade —for legal reasons, not to InTrade .COM (their real-money prediction exchange), but to InTrade .NET (their play-money prediction exchange, which uses an AMM linked to InTrade .COM, without disclosing it to the public).
- – InTrade .COM – InTrade .NET -
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities, Regulations, Resources - References
Tagged 2008 US elections, AMM, automated market makers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), InTrade, InTrade .COM, InTrade .NET, poilitical dashboard, political forecasting, political polls, political predictions, Politics, polls, prediction markets, US elections, US elections presidential elections, US electoral college, US electoral college prediction, US electoral map prediction, US politics, Yahoo!, Yahoo! News, Yahoo! News Political Dashboard
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Prediction Market Industry Association (PMIA), one year later
Let’s revisit our archives: – Deep Throat: I agree that the Prediction Market Industry Association (PMIA) (in its present form) is highly suspicious. The purpose of the PMIA was to provide resume and marketing fodder for Jed, Emile and John. … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry)
Tagged Deep Throat, PMIA, Prediction Market Industry Association
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Good Morning America.
I Told You So. by Ed Miracle This painting was on the cover of Thomas Friedman’s book, The World Is Flat.
Posted in Art, Humor
Tagged Art, Bailout, economy, Ed Miracle, Finance, financial bailout, financial crisis, financial rescue, global economy, Humor, I Told You So, paintings, The World Is Flat, Thomas Friedman
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