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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: Iowa
2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: Prediction Markets for the 2008 US Electoral College
ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com). By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen. – - #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References
Tagged 2008 electoral map prediction, 2008 US elections, 2008 US electoral map prediction, 2008 US presidential elections, America, Americans, CNN, David Pennock, electoral college, electoral college markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, electoral markets, electoral predictions, electoral vote, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iowa, Lance Fortnow, market data, objective probabilistic predictions, Political Party, Politics, predicted probabilities, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Predictions, President, Prime Minister, probabilistic predictions, real-money prediction markets, Robin Hanson, U.S. House of Representatives, United Kingdom, United States, United States Of America, United States Senate, US elections, US electoral college, US House Of Representatives Elections, US politics, US presidential elections, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen
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What I said to BusinessWeek
BusinessWeek’s Ricky McRoskey: Experts expect the initial reaction to CFTC regulation to be more low-cap, nonprofit markets like the one created by the University of Iowa. Some doubt the forecasting power in these small-scale markets, since there wouldn’t be enough … Continue reading
Tom W. Bell rebuts the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).
Tom W. Bell: The CFTC should not limit “no action” status to markets run by tax-exempt organizations. The no-action letters that the CFTC issued to the IEM emphasized not the nature of the hosting institution, the University of Iowa, but … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged American Enterprise Institute, CFTC, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, Iowa, Iraq, laws, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, Paul Wolfowitz, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Regulations, The University of Iowa, Tom W. Bell, United States Of America
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Let’s Tell the CFTC Where to Go.
Update: I’ve extended the deadline for signing up until 7 p.m. Pacific, Sunday, July 6. Also, I fixed a typo in paragraph 3, changing “denying” to “giving.” (Thanks, Gil!)> The deadline looms for interested parties to respond to the Commodity … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged CFTC, Commodities Futures Trading Commission, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, Iowa, laws, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Regulations, The University of Iowa, Trader, USD
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Forrest Nelson valids Emile Servan-Schreiber.
Via our good friends at Forecasting Principles American Scientist: Forrest Nelson, a professor of economics at the University of Iowa, helped to found the Iowa Electronic Markets. He and his colleagues faced considerable push-back from their university’s lawyers in setting … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, History
Tagged accuracy, Brian Galebach, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, David Pennock, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Forrest Nelson, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Justin Wolfers, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, professor of economics, real-money prediction markets, scientist, The University of Iowa
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The Case for Decrimininalization of Prediction Markets
[This article is cross-posted from Major Wager.] – A recent article in the prestigious academic journal Science (May 16, 2008, Vol 320, p. 877-8) once again makes the case for regulated prediction markets, more commonly known as “betting exchanges” to … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged Bear Sterns, BetFair, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, decision-making tool, Dublin, economist, Enron, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, federal law, Internet casinos, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, internet gambling laws, InTrade, Iowa, Iraq, Jay Graziani, Justin Wolfers, laws, Major, MATCHBOOK, Middle East, National Basketball Association, NBA, oil, oil crisis, online gamblers, online prediction markets, Pennsylvania, Pentagon, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, profit-making tools, real-money prediction exchanges, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, S&P 500, sports betting, Stanford, the Science, The University of Iowa, the University of Pennsylvania, TradeSports, United States, United States Congress, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, Wager, Wharton School, Yale
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IS IT SAFE TO LOCATE A PREDICTION EXCHANGE NEAR A RIVER???
BetFair HQ in Hammersmith, London, England, United Kingdom, European Union At its feet, the river Thames… – - Previously: River rising. Power plant closed. Is the Iowa Electronic Markets at risk? “This is an emergency such as we’ve never seen … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Miscellaneous
Tagged BetFair, BetFair address, BetFair building, BetFair corporate office, BetFair headquarters, BetFair HQ, Chancellors Road, European Union, floods, HammerSmith, Hammersmith Embankment, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, London, prediction markets, President, river, river Thames, Sally Mason, Thames, The Sporting Exhange, United Kingdom, University of Iowa, Winslow Road
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RIVER RISING. POWER PLANT CLOSED. IOWA ELECTRONIC MARKETS AT RISK? DEVELOPING…
- “The river [which passes thru the U of I] is expected to reach 33 feet to 34 feet Monday or early Tuesday. Flood stage is 25 feet.“ “This is an emergency such as we’ve never seen before, with unprecedented … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Miscellaneous
Tagged floods, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, President, Sally Mason, University of Iowa
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