Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Mike Linksvayer

PETA asks Al Gore to stop eating meat — and Glenn Beck agrees.

Will PETA manage to convince Al Gore to become a vegan (like Mike Linksvayer)?

Next: Our Choice = Al Gore’s book on global warming and climate change

The Singularity University + The Prediction Markets

Spot the 3 men on the right-side of the photo:
- In blue, our good friend Mike Linksvayer of Creative Commons;
- In red, the Google guy in charge of open-source software;
- In grey, Matt Mullenweg of WordPress.

So, my question to Mike:
- Do you sense that prediction markets could be a topic at the Singularity University, or [...]

Do the Creative Commons licenses tell people to link back?

Mike Linksvayer:
Creative Commons licenses (since 2004 and excluding non-license public domain tools) allow the licensor to require a linkback. I consider that the main feature of the ‘attribution’ term. See 4(b) of http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/legalcode
The easiest way to specify is to fill in the ‘Attribute work to URL’ field in the Creative Commons license chooser.
Addendum: Mike Linksvayer’s [...]

Question to Mike Linksvayer of Creative Commons

As a blogger, I don’t care if someone steals my content, and I don’t care if he/she does not cite my fucking name or brand name —as long as he/she links back to Midas Oracle. That way, it tells Google that I am the owner of the content, and it increases my PageRank.
Does one of [...]

Mike Linksvayer’s networking groups at LinkedIn

Obviously, this guy has good taste. Here is a sample of the LinkedIn networking groups he belongs to:

Here are the links to the networking groups managed by Midas Oracle (“PMs” is the most popular, the others are to be developed):

Midas Oracle @ LinkedIn
Internet Strategy @ LinkedIn
Prediction Markets @ LinkedIn
Collective Forecasting @ LinkedIn
Chris F. Masse @ [...]

Mike Linksvayer *himself* is to blame for the non-liquidity of his Wikipedia prediction markets.

Mike Linksvayer:
Prior to the Wikipedia community vote on adopting CC BY-SA it crossed my mind to set up several play money prediction market contracts concerning the above outcomes conditioned on Wikipedia adopting CC BY-SA by August 1, 2009, for which I did set up a contract. It is just as well that I didn’t — [...]

Mike Linksvayer (middle of the shot) didn’t put on a tie to receive his (deserved) award… and Richard Stallman’s hairdress looks like South Vietnam in the sixties, just after the spraying of Agent Orange and all the bombing.

Washington Mutual is seized by the US government.

- New York Times
- Another one bites the dust:

(Sorry for those who have a narrow screen and don’t see the right part of this big chart.)
-
According to InTrade, here are the banks that could fail next:
- Bank United Financial
- Downey Financial
-
External Links About The Big Bailout:
- Reason magazine have collected opinions from the leading free-market [...]

Subsidizing real-money prediction markets and real-money conditional prediction markets

Should Google subsidize the Lunar X Prize contract on InTrade?
John Salvatier,
Our good friend Bo Cowgill might have already re-created those prediction markets on Google’s internal prediction exchange at a marginal cost of zero US dollar. No need for him to “subsidize” external prediction markets.
[As an appendix, I precise that I am in favor of opening [...]

GLOBAL WARMING… SOLVED.

Caveat Bettor, please take a look at that.
Mike Linksvayer, please take a look at that.
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