Tag Archives: marketing
Mike Linksvayer *himself* is to blame for the non-liquidity of his Wikipedia prediction markets.
Mike Linksvayer:
Prior to the Wikipedia community vote on adopting CC BY-SA it crossed my mind to set up several play money prediction market contracts concerning the above outcomes conditioned on Wikipedia adopting CC BY-SA by August 1, 2009, for which I did set up a contract. It is just as well that I didn’t — [...]
Will any prediction market startup surge like *that*?
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Business Models
Fred Wilson (who invested in Twitter):
CPM ads (”cost per thousand views”; banner ads online and regular ads in print, TV and radio)
CPC ads (”cost per click”; think Google ads)
CPT ads (”cost per transaction”; you pay only if the customer brought to you from a media sites becomes a paying customer. Here’s an example.)
Lead generation (you [...]
What prediction markets can learn from Twitter — REDUX
S-I-M-P-L-I-C-I-T-Y + C-U-S-T-O-M-I-Z-A-T-I-O-N
Twitter is a very simplistic core. Around that core is a whole ecosystem that adds value to Twitter. You have a large choice of “Twitter clients”, and there are plenty of websites out there that complement the basic Twitter service.
It is the anti-BetFair case. The future prediction exchanges will be built around a [...]
What prediction markets can learn from Twitter
S-I-M-P-L-I-C-I-T-Y
If betting and trading were as simple and elegant as twittering (think of it as the anti-BetFair case), then we would be able to convert the whole Planet Earth to using and checking prediction markets —providing that prediction markets [*] were truly a purple cow, which is something many of us are discussing (sometimes vehemently) [...]
Marketing expert Seth Godin recommends that you don’t Twitter.
UPDATE: Seth Godin e-mails me this:
I never said that “you” shouldn’t use twitter. Not at all. I think there are plenty of people who should use twitter. I said I can’t use twitter. Different story. [...] Twitter is great for personal updates. It’s great for public customer updates. It’s great to see the live zeitgeist. [...]
Google users are digging around to get the probability of a Swine Flu pandemy.
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Interestingly, the results are very different with “swine flu predictions”. Predictify is above HubDub in both cases, you’ll notice.
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External Links: – Google Trends – Google Insights for Search
Previously: Swine Flu Prediction Markets
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Get Rich Quick Thanks To InTrade
Start with 50 bucks, and very soon, you become rich like Croesus.
Is that a coordinated marketing campaign?
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