Monthly Archives: August 2008

InTrade and TradeSports plagued by server outage

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Many event derivative traders are outraged this morning because the InTrade and TradeSports servers are virtually inaccessible. “InTrade is an absolute disgrace this morning”, e-mails me one trader. UPDATE: It’s OK, now, but another trader told me it lasted “for … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, prediction markets | 1 Comment

HubDub policies I strongly object to

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- The prediction markets are suspended before the official announcement of the outcome. – Partial selling is impossible. I want progress on these 2 fronts, or I’ll stop being a supporter of HubDub.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets | 5 Comments

Sarah… Who?

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

She is at 59% as I type this. (Sorry for my previous post about Mitt Romney. I consulted the political news websites before InTrade. )

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, John McCain, Mitt Romney, play-money prediction markets, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Republican vice presidential nominee, Republican VP nominee, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, US politics, vice president, vice presidents, VP, VPs | Leave a comment

Mitt Romney [or Sarah Palin] will be the Republican vice presidential nominee.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Tim Pawlenty won’t go in Dayton, Ohio. So, it’s Mitt Romney. The play-money and real-money prediction markets were easily fooled with the Pawlenty rumors, yesterday. That vindicates my message that the VP prediction markets feed on unreliable primary indicators. I … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, John McCain, Mitt Romney, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican vice presidential nominee, Tim Pawlenty, US politics, vice president, vice presidential prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP prediction markets, VPs | 4 Comments

Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade-TradeSports CEO John Delaney (a.k.a. “The Sponge”) has siphoned the best concepts premiered by HubDub, and, in particular, has copied WORD FOR WORD some of the HubDub webpages. Example: The 3 selling points of the InTrade .NET login/registration webpage are … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, imitation, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, InTrade, InTrade .NET, John Delaney, login, Nigel Eccles, prediction markets, registration, websites | 3 Comments

Anyone knows the reasoning behind HubDub suspending all their Republican VP prediction markets?

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Bizarre. No official VP announcement has been made, yet. Why can’t we trade on HubDub till the very end…???????… HubDumb…?… UPDATE: Markets un-suspended, now. Nigel Eccles does not know why the category editor did suspend that. UPDATE: The HubDub category … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged HubDub, prediction markets, VP prediction markets | 9 Comments

The InTrade .NET charting system is a great improvement for prediction market journalism.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

One word: FANTASTIC. Much improved. A prediction market blogger can hot-link to the advanced chart. The advanced chart is the by-default chart —both prices and volumes are chartered. [Thin volumes don't appear, though.] The advanced chart is of the right … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Prediction Journalism, Software | Tagged betting markets, chart widgets, charting system, charting systems, charts, compound charts, dynamic charts, dynamic compound chart widgets with customizable news m, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade .NET, news markers, prediction market journalism, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, Software, software for prediction markets | 2 Comments

Tim… Who?

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Link to the InTrade prediction market. Below, I try to hot-link to the chart, I’m not sure at this point it will work. We will see.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, John McCain, Mitt Romney, play-money prediction markets, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Republican vice presidential nominee, Republican VP nominee, Tim Pawlenty, US politics, vice president, vice presidents, VP, VPs | 1 Comment

Do you like InTrade DOT NET (www.intrade.net)?

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- LinkedIn to moi: Dear Chris, First, thank you for managing your group on LinkedIn. We sincerely appreciate the time and effort you devote to your members, and we know they value it. Together you have made Groups one of … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Midas Oracle Network | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, LinkedIn, LinkedIn group on Prediction Markets, LinkedIn Groups, Midas Oracle Network, prediction markets, Prediction Markets group at LinkedIn | 4 Comments

InTrade DOT NET — www.intrade.net

Posted on August 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

This post is a very short review of their new website. I might publish a deeper review, later on. The log line is that InTrade CEO John Delaney has ingested all the innovations that HubDub has brought to the prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged Add new tag, bet exchanges, betting exchanges, betting markets, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google Search, Google Web Search, HubDub, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, InTrade, John Delaney, Nigel Eccles, play-money prediction markets, prediction exchanges, prediction market industry, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Search Engine Optimization, Search Engines, SEO, social networking, websites | 3 Comments

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