Will Google *launch* its own Operating System (OS) before July 13, 2009?

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Sounds like Google did &#8220-announce&#8221- &#8212-as opposed to &#8220-launch&#8221-. Sense the nuance?

And so the HubDub prediction market will expire as a &#8220-NO&#8221- &#8212-as I understand it.

MicroSoft have patented the prediction markets.

Well, at least, one aspect of the prediction markets.

Uniited States Patent Application:



A user participates in trading securities in a prediction market which represent different outcomes of an event, using an interface which allows the user to understand a trade in terms of a bet. The interface also allows the user to explore different bet amounts while receiving feedback on potential payoffs in real time. In one approach, a tool is used which is moved in one direction by the user to indicate a larger trade for an outcome, or in the opposite direction to indicate a larger trade against the outcome. A bet for an outcome can be translated into a purchase of a corresponding security which represents the outcome. A bet against a particular outcome can be translated into a purchase of securities which represents all other outcomes. The user interfaces hides complexities of the market from the user while surfacing relevant information.

Inventors: BERG- HENRY G.- (Redmond, WA) – PROEBSTING- TODD A.- (Redmond, WA)

I won&#8217-t comment on this, because I believe that the US patent system is broken, generally speaking.

Dont let others dissuade you to create a prediction market startup.

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MicroSoft&#8217-s Steve Ballmer:

My parents thought I&#8217-d lost my mind to drop out of Stanford Business School to go to a company that makes software. My dad said &#8220-what the heck is software?&#8221- and my mother said &#8220-why the heck would a person need a computer?&#8221-.

The software I use on my MacBook Pro 17″

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If you use some great software packages (utilities or applications) missing in this list, let me know. Thanks. Appreciated.

  • Operating Systems: Linux – Ubuntu – Apple Macintosh OS – Apple iPhone OS – MicroSoft Windows
  • Open-Source Software Packages: Open-Source Software Packages – Open-Source Mac – Open-Source iPhone Software – Open-Source Windows
  • Linux: &#8212-
  • Macintosh: – ClamXav – The Unarchiver – Disk Inventory X – OnyX – Maintenance – Deeper – Desktop Inspector – Service Scrubber – AppCleaner – Burn – QuickSilver – MercuryMover – CyberDuck – iRed Lite – KisMac – Adium – Fink – Fink Commander – NeoOffice – Aquamacs Emacs – Apple iLife – Apple iWork –
  • Windows: – ClamWin – AVG Free – IZArc – Programmer&#8217-s NotePad – IrFanView – ListGarden – Core FTP – WinAMP – Real – Cube Explorer –
  • Cross-Platform: – Java – Skype – Mozilla FireFox – Opera – Chrome – Apple Safari – GreaseMonkey for FireFox – Mozilla ThunderBird – RSS Owl – Adobe PDF Reader –  VLC – Apple QuickTime – Audacity – GIMP – Inkscape – Blender – Open Office – Kompozer – Nvu – R – Vdrift –

UPDATE: Chris Hibbert lists his favorite software packages for Macintosh in the comment area. (I used his tips to update the listing above.)

INSIDERs STORY: The insightful strategic business report about The Evil Empire that Henry Berg does not want you to see

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The best thing I read this Friday morning.

Don&#8217-t you love the Web? Blogging employees can rat on their boss &#8212-for our information or entertainment.

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • Devoting the whole NBC Nightly News bulletin to Tim Russert’s passing was worst than beaming out porn.
  • COLD FUSION: The purpose of this post is to give you the scientific explainer link I forgot to publish (at inception) in my previous post.
  • Forecasting Election Outcomes
  • GOOD NEWS: Ron Paul is now blogging. — THE CHERRY ON TOP OF THE CAKE: Ron Paul is using WordPress.org… just like Midas Oracle does.
  • InTrade’s sudden and puzzled interest in… alchemy…!!!
  • Psstt… Spot that comment, on Google News, about… “bellwethers”… from a political scientist.
  • Prediction markets are about lowering transaction costs. That’s how sports come in.

The best presentations from the worlds best conference on enterprise prediction markets -ever

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Awesome slides in bold.

Brought to you by Koleman Strumpf (circa November 2007):

Henry Berg, Microsoft &lt-slides&gt-
Discussant: Robin Hanson (George Mason Department of Economics) &lt-slides&gt-

Christina Ann LaComb, GE (The Imagination Market- abstract is free, text is gated) &lt-slides&gt-
Discussant: Marco Ottaviani (Kellogg School of Management, Management and Strategy) &lt-slides&gt-

Dawn Keller, Best Buy (Best Buy’s TAGTRADE Market) &lt-slides&gt-

Bo Cowgill, Google (Putting Crowd Wisdom to Work) &lt-slides&gt-

Jim Lavoie, Co-Founder and CEO, Rite-Solutions &lt-slides&gt-

David Perry, Co-Founder and President, Consensus Point &lt-slides&gt-

Mat Fogarty, Founder and CEO, Xpree Inc &lt-slides&gt-

Tom W. Bell, Chapman University School of Law &lt-slides&gt-

50% of our prediction market luminaries have a MacBook.

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Right-click this link, open it in another browser tab, and you&#8217-ll get why.

[Jed’s observation.]

Previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • The FaceBook profiles of the 2 most important men of the field of prediction markets
  • Google now considers Midas Oracle as a major blog.
  • Horizon 2015: A long-term strategic perspective for the real-money prediction markets
  • Join our group at LinkedIn to have your “Prediction Markets” badge on your profile. It’s ‘chic’. (“Groups” info should be set as “visible”, in your profile options.) We are 63 this early Saturday morning —keeps growing.
  • If you have been using PayPal to fund your InTrade, TradeSports or BetFair account, please, check that horror story.
  • 48 hours after the launch of the “Prediction Markets” group at LinkedIn, we have already 52 members —both prediction market luminaries and simple people (trading the event derivatives or collecting the market-generated probabilities).