Justin Wolfers: “In a few years, we may regard the second half of the 20th century as the aberration in which the press used polls rather than markets to track political races,” Justin Wolfers, a business professor at the University … Continue reading
John Tierney (and again this morning): […] Keeping up with a presidential campaign used to require at least an hour a day of wading through punditry, and much more time during the peak primary season. But now, with a few … Continue reading
Barry Ritholtz: In an upcoming post, we will review the strengths and weaknesses of these thinly traded prediction markets…- We are terrified. We’-re pissing in our slip. Previously: Prediction markets are forecasting tools of convenience that feed on advanced indicators. … Continue reading
Felix Salmon: […] And thirdly, if you’-re Justin Wolfers, it’-s probably smart not to make unhedged statements saying that Barack Obama has “-better than a nine-in-ten chance of winning”- the New Hampshire primary. […] Previously: Prediction markets are forecasting tools … Continue reading
Cross posted from UsableMarkets Back in April I started talking about how Prediction Markets will be part of many news organizations’- “-citizen-generated”- content strategy going forward. To quote myself (which seems kind of a rude thing to do, doesn’-t it … Continue reading
About feeds: I recommend reading any blog within a Web-based feed reader and I recommend Google Reader. You should be able to scan-read quickly the items within your feed reader —-classify them, tag them, share them, and search them. Read … Continue reading
Good point. […] Many of the most innovative and successful of Google’s new services are, in fact, ones it has acquired rather than created. Those include the hugely popular video-sharing service YouTube, the Weblog publisher Blogger, the virtual globe Google … Continue reading
And the wisdom of crowds won, of course. That’-s the conclusion I draw from reading Rogers Cadenhead at WorkBench, who assessed what would be the settlement of the LongBets wager on: In a Google search of five keywords or phrases … Continue reading
The Top 6 Ways Not To Get Pulled Over How to Handle Getting Pulled Over Without Losing Your Cool Top Five Cop Tricks – How They Get You to Give Up Your Rights Avoiding the Section 1001 Trap – Why … Continue reading
InTrade has just opened (and not publicized yet on their site feed) a set of global warming prediction markets —-more exactly, event derivative markets on whether the world’-s biggest national governments will soon agree to reduce CO2 emissions under the … Continue reading
