Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: TV

“Wisdom of crowds” in popular culture, again

Written by Michael Giberson on September 29, 2009 — 3 Comments

“The wisdom of crowds” has apparently seeped a bit into popular culture, or at least the geekier end of it.
On the heels of British illusionist Derren Brown’s invoking of “the wisdom of crowds” as a (false) part of his explanation of how he appeared to predict winning lottery numbers, last night a character in the [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Fiction | Also tagged , , , ,

James K. Galbraith on Max Keiser’s The Oracle

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 7, 2009 — 1 Comment

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James K. Galbraith
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Posted in Entertainment, Finance, Humor, The Global Economy | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

95 million TV viewers for the Super Bowl 2009

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 2, 2009 — 3 Comments

WSJ:
Only the Super Bowl, presidential debates, the Oscars and a few other broadcasts attract the tens of millions of viewers that major advertisers, including movie studios and big consumer-product makers like PepsiCo Inc., long to reach.
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UPDATE: There has been a recount.
98.7 million
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Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Sports | Also tagged ,

Strange Bedfellows

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

FOX TV + HubDub
Click on the VIDEO tab, and then click on PLAY.
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Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , ,

Would InTrade or BetFair have done a better job predicting how many people would see the Barack Obama infomercial?

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 31, 2008 — 4 Comments

As I disclose on the other blog (Midas Oracle .COM), the HubDub traders wrongly thought that the (Socialist) Barack Obama informercial would have be seen by “more than 50 million”. No, no, no, no. It was 33.5 million, according to Nielsen. The HubDub traders were too optimistic.
Would the InTrade or BetFair traders have done a [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Yet another indispensable set of prediction markets that HubDub is the only exchange to run

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 29, 2008 — 1 Comment

To discover it, click here before 8 p.m. tonite, this Wednesday, October 29, 2008.
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UPDATE:

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Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , ,

Max Keiser is going to practice (an entertaining form of) prediction market analysis for BBC World News.

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 10, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Max Keiser:
CAUGHT OFF GUARD BY GLOBAL FINANCIAL MELTDOWN? NOT IF YOU HAD WATCHED THE ORACLE!
Max Keiser looks into the future every Friday on BBC World . . . coming soon
BBC World News is working with Max Keiser, the creator of the Hollywood Stock Exchange, to produce “The Oracle,” a weekly entertaining look into the future [...]

Posted in Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , ,

While Wall Street is melting down, Martha Stewart introduces blogging to her TV audience.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 18, 2008 — 5 Comments

Her blog —powered by WordPress.
Video

Video #2: Perez Hilton

Posted in Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

WORLD-WIDE WEB EXCLUSIVE (PLEASE, DO CREDIT “MIDAS ORACLE” FOR THE SCOOP): Here’s what Nigel Eccles drinks when he works on the HubDub mission statement.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 26, 2008 — 2 Comments

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Nigel Eccles:
Quoting HubDub forecasts in news stories about future events will be as common as quoting stock prices in financial stories is today or (in the UK) quoting betting odds for political elections.
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In my view, the only way our good friend Nigel Eccles would succeed would be to get HubDub on television —like our good [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

VIDEO: Max Keiser’s attempt at predicting the future —subjectively

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 19, 2008 — 1 Comment

Overall, the TV show is based on a good concept (trying to predict future headlines), and I’m sure it will be a success in the end.
However, one big mistake Max is doing is to have female journalists. Sorry to say that, but if you are in the business of selling subjective predictions, you need to [...]

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,
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