Tag Archives: trading

Once again, Robin Hanson exaggerates the usefulness of the prediction markets. — [ANALYSIS]

InTrade’s prediction markets on the recent Arab revolutions didn’t bring anything interesting in our understanding of the Middle East. Robin Hanson’s insistence is absurd.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Conspicacy theory (involving credit cards) about coffee futures — [VIDEO]

Posted in Business, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The future belongs to hedge funds — [LINK]

Man vs. Machine on Wall Street: How Computers Beat the Market.

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Arab Revolt Prediction Markets – {Predictions for next Arab country to revolt} – {Which country is the next ‘domino’?} – {What will happen in the Middle East & Northern Africa?} – [PREDICTION MARKET CHARTS]

Predictions for next Arab country to revolt: Libya — Muammar al-Gaddafi – [5 spellings: Gaddafi, Qaddafi, Gadhafi, Khadafy and Khadafi]: Bahrain — Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah: Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh: Iran — Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: Iran — Seyed Ali Hoseyni … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Trading on Inkling’s prediction markets – [VIDEO]

More.

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Market Makers (Automated), Market Trading, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

“The REAL lesson most investors should take away from the largest institutional insider-trading investigation in history is that competition in the global financial markets is so intense that it’s basically idiotic to trade.”

“the folks they are competing with have millions and millions of dollars to spend gathering information that will never be published anywhere or appear on a screen or in a chart or graph.”

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Predict X = Play-money prediction markets

Predict X http://www.predictx.org/ FAQ Best wishes to Sebastian and Alexander.

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Prof Michael Giberson still into prediction market manipulation

I am personally fed up with this theme, but our good friend Mike Giberson has some inklings. See also Paul Hewitt’s comment.

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Max Keiser: Cantor Exchange and Media Derivatives Exchange would be an “insiders/traders’s paradise”.

Max Keiser – 12:00 into (17,000 views already): I disagree with Max that a prediction market quote can change perceptions that much.

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Eugene Fama (the father of the efficient markets hypothesis): Here’s historical evidence that momentum trading doesn’t work.

New York Times: What the Past Can’t Tell Investors I am linking to the story so as to create an opportunity for commenting, below.

Posted in Economics, Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments