Tag Archives: real-money prediction exchanges

At the contrary, mister Kirtland.

Contra Alex Kirtland, I believe that the development of play-money prediction exchanges using MSR (like HubDub or AskMarkets), which popularity is now proved, is much more important news than stuff about CFTC-regulated, real-money prediction exchanges (like HedgeStreet or the Cantor … Continue reading

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The InTrade traders are wondering what the future of InTrade is —now that TradeSports has bellied up in style.

Here are the screen shots of their posts —before they get removed. – - – Previously: on TradeSports death – on InTrade’s viability -

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After the demise of TradeSports, questions (re-)surface about the viability of InTrade.

My post about the sudden closure of TradeSports was the #2 most downloaded webpages, yesterday —even though that post was published late yesterday. And this morning, I am receiving tons of e-mails from the InTrade and TradeSports traders (they are … Continue reading

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Is Smarkets a UK-based, real-money, CDA-powered prediction exchange that is going to export its betting services to the Americans?

That was my first hypothesis, based on the fact that Smarkets was part of a group of UK startups that went to NYC to promote themselves to the American market. However, it should be said with force that no other … Continue reading

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The regulation of iPredict New Zealand

http://www.lexisnexis.co.nz/products/bulletins/legislation/nz_regulation_SR-2008-285.pdf Via Eric Crampton —who else.

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iPredict New Zealand

iPredict New Zealand iPredict New Zealand is a legal, real-money prediction exchange organizing real-money prediction markets. They can also provide support for enterprise prediction markets. iPredict New Zealand has been declared a futures dealer by the New Zealand Securities Commission, … Continue reading

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Questions to InTrade CEO John Delaney about InTrade .NET and InTrade .COM

- InTrade .NET is a play-money prediction exchange while InTrade .COM is a real-money prediction exchange. Is there an automated market maker linking the InTrade .NET prices (or bids) with the InTrade .COM prices? – Why is it that you … Continue reading

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The Case for Decrimininalization of Prediction Markets

[This article is cross-posted from Major Wager.] – A recent article in the prestigious academic journal Science (May 16, 2008, Vol 320, p. 877-8) once again makes the case for regulated prediction markets, more commonly known as “betting exchanges” to … Continue reading

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