Tag Archives: prediction market industry

The prediction market ideology still lives on. — [COMMENT]

Posted on April 21, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

David Pennock: Not to put too much faith into the unscientific Gartner hype cycle, but it does feel like a time of backlash responding to some early over optimism. As cooler heads prevail, and the technology speaks for itself, I … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, James Surowiecki, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, prediction market industry, prediction markets, Robin Hanson | Leave a comment

Did the prediction market industry fail because of the lack of usability of the prediction markets? — [REBUTTAL]

Posted on April 15, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

David Pennock: I like an analogy of Playstation versus Wii. Just like Wii opened up video gaming to a mass audience including women, I think there’s room for simpler/friendlier sites like smarkets that can open up gambling to a much … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged BetFair, betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade-TradeSports, James Surowiecki, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, prediction market industry, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, The Sporting Exchange, TradeSports | 2 Comments

David Pennock on the state of the prediction market industry — [LINK]

Posted on April 13, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Prediction markets offer: Accountability Meritocracy A marketplace to reward information release Real-time updates Accuracy Increasing ease of use, as the technology matures and diffuses Self funding

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, prediction market industry, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Midas Oracle’s April Fools 2011 — [HUMOR]

Posted on April 1, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

–> Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers and James Surowiecki are celebrating the fact that the prediction market industry is now a one-trillion-dollar-a-year industry.

Posted in Humor | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, James Surowiecki, Justin Wolfers, prediction market industry, prediction markets, Robin Hanson | Leave a comment

The prediction market industry ditches John Maloney –finally.

Posted on November 9, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

It was about time, and it is good news. From: Emile Servan-Schreiber, NewsFutures To: all friends of prediction markets: A number of us have been talking recently and we are in agreement that the existing forums for prediction market enthusiasts … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Resources - References | Tagged Google Groups, prediction market industry, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets | 6 Comments

BetFair is world’s third most valuable Internet startup.

Posted on October 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The Silicon Alley Insider 50+ Top Ten: 1. Facebook 2. Wikipedia 3. Betfair 4. NewEgg 5. Craigslist 6. Mozilla 7. Yandex 8. Webkinz (aka Ganz) 9. GoDaddy 10. Demand Media

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged BetFair, betting exchanges, betting markets, event derivative markets, prediction market industry, prediction markets, Silicon Alley Insider, The Sporting Exchange | 2 Comments

Some prediction market companies brag too much.

Posted on September 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Here is what CÃ©dric Gaspoz has published on the San Francisco clown’s e-mailing list: Hi, thanks to “Google” [the description line concocted by the website owners and which Google displays in its search results] or better, thanks to their own … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged prediction market companies, prediction market industry | Leave a comment

Based on what metric, exactly?

Posted on September 24, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

… asks our good doctor Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures, on the San Francisco clown’s e-mailing list. The answer is simple: The San Francisco clown (who hides behind the e-mail account of that young lady) will say anything for money. Whoever … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Consulting, Ethics | Tagged prediction market consultants, prediction market industry, prediction market software vendors | Leave a comment

Should you be bullish on enterprise prediction markets?

Posted on May 22, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: There is now a prediction market industry, where I do a lot of consulting, most of which is to private companies.Â Most of these are on prediction markets, but some are decision markets. What Robin Hanson does not … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, decision-aid markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Aggregation, Inkling, inkling markets, internal prediction markets, NewsFutures, prediction market industry, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, wisdom of crowds | 8 Comments

How come prediction exchanges are ranking so low for American Idol?

Posted on May 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Midas Oracle has received many visitors from Google this week, thanks to the great work of Ryan from HubDub. I tried to understand why. Turn out when you type “american idol prediction market” (you can add the “s” at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged American Idol, BetFair, Google Internet Search, Google Search, Google Web Search, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, HubDub, InTrade, prediction exchanges, prediction market industry, prediction market startups, prediction markets, Search Engines | Leave a comment

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