Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: David McFadzean

HISTORY: Prediction Markets Timeline

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 17, 2007 — 16 Comments

For an updated version of this document, see the “paged” Prediction Markets Timeline.
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CHRONOLOGY & HISTORY: Prediction Markets Timeline
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Feel free to post a comment or contact me, and I’ll correct or add a factoid. Thanks.
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#1. Historical Prediction Markets
According to Paul Rhode and Koleman Strumpf, prediction markets almost never got it wrong forecasting the 19 presidential elections [...]

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Email Interview: Ken Kittlitz

Written by Ken Kittlitz on January 24, 2007 — 14 Comments

My responses to a set of questions Chris Masse recently emailed to me:
Chris. F. Masse: Ken Kittlitz, you co-founded the Foresight Exchange (it went by the name “Idea Futures” at the time) in 1994. Would you mind telling me two words on your co-founders? Which ones brought the most into the project? Are you still [...]

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Prediction market vendor’s pitch of the day

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 6, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Consensus Point:
A pioneer of the prediction market industry, Consensus Point, Inc. began implementing prediction markets in 1994. Put our expertise to work for your organization.
It is factually true. However, it would be better if David Perry mentioned (and linked to) the Foresight Exchange (which his business partner Ken Kittlitz co-founded in 1994 with Sean Morgan, [...]

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Is HSX the “longest continuously operating prediction market”??? – REDUX

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 23, 2006 — 3 Comments

This is a copy of the story that I ran on the sidebar blog, in mid-October:
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From the HSX site feed:
Hollywood Stock Exchange is an integrated marketing, research and technology company driven by its patented entertainment stock market, HSX.com, the longest continuously operating prediction market.
Reality Check:
Foresight Exchange – (FX, FSX) – (Alberta, Canada) — URL: IdeoSphere [...]

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