Global warming due to human-produced CO2 is the biggest scientific imposture of all times.
Henrik Svensmark –- The Cloud Mystery (French version):
Vincent Courtillot (in French, alas):
Lions Gate vice chairman Michael Burns said the markets “would allow a diverse group of motion picture industry participants, including studios, film distributors, theater owners, investors and other financial intermediaries within the motion picture industry to manage their risk and exposure to new film releases.”-
“We believe a market in domestic box office receipts would substantially widen the number and breadth of financing sources available to the motion picture industry by lowering the risk inherent in such financing,” Burns wrote.
Robin Hanson is in favor of movie business futures.
ADDENDUM:
– Jason Ruspini sends us the link of the Senate bill.
– Once you have written your draft, e-mail me so I can publish it and optimize it for Google.
– Otherwise, the post stays in the “-pending”- area —-which I don’-t check that often.
Nate Silver rates New York City’-s neighborhoods.
Jason Ruspini:
The piece is problematic insofar as it underweights proximity to areas where people work, which results in high ratings for distant neighborhoods and low ratings for central ones, on top of the effect of higher rents in central neighborhoods. True, if you work from home, it might make more sense to live in the outer boroughs. But if you have a one hour + commute every day, it doesn’-t really help that you happen to live near a subway stop and thus have a relatively high “-transit”- rating.
For the restaurant category, he seems to be considering quantity but not quality. How else does Long Island City have a higher rating than Gramercy/Flatiron, where 9 of the top 50 Zagats restaurants are located? I don’-t even think that Long Island City beats Gramercy/Flatiron in terms of quantity either.
Ultimately, of course, preferences are too subjective to give one ordinal ranking, but the distance-to-average-work-location issue seems glaring, and increases the outer borough bias.
So what effect did the UK‘-s first ever televised prime ministerial debate featuring Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg have on the political betting market?
Before the debate, the betting market on Betfair regarding who if anybody would secure an overall majority was as follows- Conservative Majority 1.75- No Overall Majority 2.68- Labour Majority 17.0.
After the debate, the market was betting as follows: Conservative Majority 1.83- No Overall Majority 2.54- Labour Majority 17.5.
Consensus opinion held that the Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg had performed best, and, there is little doubt that this debate represented a significant turning points as regards the publics perception of him. If he performs as well in the next two debates, this will have serious implications as regards the probability of a hung parliament. Accordingly, one would anticipate that the odds on No Overall Majority are likely to shorten further ahead of the actual election.
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