Tag Archives: Yahoo!

Once again, Yahoo!’s David Rothschild forgets to cite InTrade and BetFair as probability sources. — [OOPS]

Here. Previously.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Knowns and unknowns of the 2012 presidential elections — [LINK]

“We gather information from a variety of sources (some of which are themselves information aggregators), including prediction markets, polls, web search, social activity, games, and historical precedent, and combine it together to produce a Consensus Prediction that is as unbiased, … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Prediction Journalism, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Yahoo’s David Rothschild scraps market info from InTrade (and BetFair?), does not cite them, and does not link to them. — [UPDATED]

David Pennock’s little protégé should receive a crash course about citing sources. C’est minable. UPDATE: David Rothschild e-mails me to say he forgot to link to InTrade and BetFair in that story, at publication time, but he added the links … Continue reading

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FaceBook acts as a de facto information gathering source for US intelligence agencies such as NSA, CIA and FBI. — [VIDEO]

More.

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PREDICTALOT IS THE LARGEST PREDICTION EXCHANGE CREATED BY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES (9.2 QUINTILLION). — [LINK]

http://predictalot.yahoo.com/ Predictalot on FaceBook. David Pennock: I believe it’s the largest prediction market created by number of outcomes (9.2 quintillion). We’re approximating a #P-hard problem to get the odds. More here. I believe v0.3 is faster and easier to use … Continue reading

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Yahoo! Finance vertical search

Yahoo! Finance vertical search

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The main advantage of web search as a prediction tool may have less to do with its superiority over other methods than with its generality, low cost, and real-time nature.

What Can Search Predict?

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It takes geniuses to build businesses and idiots to ruin them. — Joseph Brooks (then Ann Taylor CEO)

That‘s my thought about the Yahoo!– MicroSoft search deal.

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The Yahoo! CEO that David Pennock once celebrated has successfully disintegrated the company.

David Pennock’s “fearless leader” did a bad, bad thing, today: She handed out Yahoo! Search to MicroSoft. The best analysis is from Jason Calacanis. Yahoo! stock is down 12%. Women.

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The Yahoo!–MicroSoft deal

Yahoo! = AOL

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