Tag Archives: USD

Thinking they would fight poverty and solve the “2 Americas” problem, the John Edwards donors ended up giving (thru his political action committee) $114,000 to his mistress (a de facto prostitute whom he said he “didn’t love”) on the pretext of producing 4 YouTube videos (on a mere 2 1/2 minutes long).

Posted on August 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

I want John Edwards to disappear in his own ass, and I don’t want to hear anymore about that bastard. I have updated my previous post with the relevant links —for those of you who are just surfacing from an … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Politics | Tagged Americas, HubDub, John Edwards, prediction markets, USD, YouTube | Leave a comment

The Alderney Gambling Control Commission: you follow the rules but you still don’t get paid. Why bother with regulation at all?

Posted on July 31, 2008 by Caruso

Online gambling regulation by accountable governmental bodies is a good thing for one reason and one reason alone: it offers protection to the player. There are many reasons why it’s good for the industry in terms of profit and image, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Betting, Ethics, Gambling, Regulations | Tagged actual law prohibiting such terms, Alderney, Alderney Commission, Alderney Gambling Control Commission, bank, Channel Islands, Ethics, European Union, Gambling, GBP, Guernsey, Guernsey government, laws, Leicester, Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority, online casinos, online gambling, online gambling operations, PKR, PKR Limited, Player, Regulations, State Office of Alderney, United Kingdom, USD | 15 Comments

I was not drinking cranky juice when I told you that FaceBook can be leveraged to compete with InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, NewsFutures, HubDub and the Hollywood Stock Exchange.

Posted on July 23, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Famous Silicon Valley VC is among those ponying up $29 million to profit from that idea. (Use that tool to get to read the whole WSJ story.) I told you so. And kudos to David Pennock. – Gaming = an … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Gambling, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged David Pennock, FaceBook, FaceBook games, gaming, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Internet betting, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, prediction markets, United States, USD, Zynga Game Network | Leave a comment

Domestic Box Office Receipts (2008-07-18~20) – Batman: The Dark Knight to gross over $130.0M in opening weekend.

Posted on July 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Batman, box office receipts, The Dark Knight, USD | Leave a comment

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: Prediction Markets for the 2008 US Electoral College

Posted on July 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com). By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen. – - #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References | Tagged 2008 electoral map prediction, 2008 US elections, 2008 US electoral map prediction, 2008 US presidential elections, America, Americans, CNN, David Pennock, electoral college, electoral college markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, electoral markets, electoral predictions, electoral vote, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iowa, Lance Fortnow, market data, objective probabilistic predictions, Political Party, Politics, predicted probabilities, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Predictions, President, Prime Minister, probabilistic predictions, real-money prediction markets, Robin Hanson, U.S. House of Representatives, United Kingdom, United States, United States Of America, United States Senate, US elections, US electoral college, US House Of Representatives Elections, US politics, US presidential elections, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen | 1 Comment

Chris Masse’s second comment to the CFTC on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Chris F. Masse Midas Oracle cfm —— midasoracle —— com chrisfmasse —— gmail —— com July 6th, 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st St. NW Washington D.C. 20581 Attention: Office of the Secretariat- secretary@cftc.gov Reference: Concept … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged American Enterprise Institute, Barack Obama, BetFair, CFTC, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, David Pennock, decision support tools, Eric Zitzewitz, European Union, event derivative markets, event derivatives, false solutions, France, Google, HedgeStreet, Internet search engine, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, prediction markets, President, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, research scientist, retail customers, retail traders, Robin Hanson, Search Engine, Secretary, Tom W. Bell, TradeFair, TradeSports, United Kingdom, United States, USD, web searches, Yahoo! | 3 Comments

HubDub question

Posted on July 8, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

I did bet $20 on the “yes” side of the CFTC prediction market. But now, I want to sell those this “yes” contract and buy a “no” contract instead. How can I do that on HubDub? Thanks. – UPDATE: Jed … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, Jed Christiansen, Market Trading, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, USD | 2 Comments

We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we are afraid that your “Jim Webb becomes VP” event derivative is now totally worthless —unless you’re a short seller (a.k.a. a layer).

Posted on July 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

WEBB DOESN’T WANT TO BE VP. – - InTrade – Democratic Vice President Nominee – Republican Vice President Nominee – BetFair – Next Vice President: – Democratic Ticket – Democratic Vice President Nominee – Republican Vice President Nominee – NewsFutures … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic Vice President, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Jim Webb, meta forecasting tools, NewsFutures, Nominee, Politics, prediction markets, Republican Vice President, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, US Vice President, USD, vice president, VP | Leave a comment

What Robin Hanson told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2008 10:12:46 -0400 To: secretary@cftc.gov From: Robin Hanson <rhanson@gmu.edu> Subject: Comment on “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts” —————————————————————- I am an event market innovator, having published the first detailed … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Inventions & Innovations, Regulations | Tagged 703-993-2323, 703-993-2326, associate professor, BusinessWeek, Carow Hall, CFTC, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, F.T.C., future, George Mason University, Humanity Institute, Humanity Institute at Oxford University, individual trader, insurance markets, laws, Oxford University, prediction markets, professor of economics, public web markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research Associate, Robin Hanson, Secretary, Tom W. Bell, Trader, USD | 5 Comments

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