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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
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- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: Tim Kaine
Now that Joe Biden is the Democratic vice president nominee, what to think of Justin Wolfers’ August 1st column for the WSJ?
- The good point is that he dealt well with the fact that the VP prediction markets fed on primary indicators that are less reliable than the ones used for the political elections. – The bad point is that, at … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
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Tagged Democratic vice president nominee, Evan Bayth, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Joe Biden, Justin Wolfers, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Tim Kaine, US politics, vice president prediction markets, VP prediction markets, VP-candidate prediction markets, Wall Street Journal, WSJ
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3 Comments
The vetting of the many potential Democratic vice president nominees was not as secretive as I thought. — Bo Cowgill was right, in hindsight.
The New York Times has a recount on how Barack Obama reached his decision on Joe Biden. The final decision was probably made 10 days ago, while Barack Obama was vacationing in Hawaii. [...] Mr. Obama’s decision had as much … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Bo Cowgill, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Democratic vice president nominee, Evan Bayh, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Joe Biden, John McCain, Justin Wolfers, Kathleen Sebelius, Mitt Romney, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction markets, Tim Kaine, Tom Snee, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP-candidate prediction markets, VPs
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1 Comment
Barack Obama + Joe Biden — THE PREDICTION MARKETS NAILED IT… triple alas (for my reputation as a world-wide prediction market pundit, and for the debate on the different quality of the various primary indicators out there).
“Friend — I have some important news that I want to make official. I’ve chosen Joe Biden to be my running mate.†Some blogger says his wife is fantastic. New York Times portrait of Joe Biden. UPDATE: Barack Obama‘s speech … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Caveat Bettor, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Democratic vice president nominee, Democratic VP nominee, Evan Bayh, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Joe Biden, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction markets, primary indicators, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP nominee, VP-candidate prediction markets, VPs
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2 Comments
Waiting for Barack Obama’s choice for VP candidate
- Lawsuit about the ineligibility of Barack Obama for the US presidency. — Not a hoax. – Pranksters are sending false text messages. – Did Caveat Bettor fall in this trap? – Texas Rep. Chet Edwards is the surprise just … Continue reading →
Posted in Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Chet Edwards, Politics, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections
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1 Comment
Bloomberg says WSJ says Tim Kaine is Barack Obama’s VP.
I don’t have a link, as the Bloomberg tape just printed it at 12:15pm EST. Will update when available. Unfortunately, Intrade was down, so I could not check where things were trading. He who laughs last, right Chris? UPDATE: Jack … Continue reading →
Posted in Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Politics, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections
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1 Comment
Barack Obama drops hints about who his VP candidate will be. — Might be Evan Bayh.
Time: QUESTION: One of the biggest moments in the campaign is going to be your announcement of a vice president. What is that decision going to tell voters about you? BARACK OBAMA: Hopefully, the same thing that my campaign has … Continue reading →
Barack Obama + Kathleen Sebelius
New York Times publishes the portraits of all the VP candidates. I have just read the article on Kathleen Sebelius… and that has strongly reinforced my view that she is the best pick for Barack Obama. I am less opinionated … Continue reading →
Pschhtt… The Joe Biden hot balloon is deflating as fast as Louis Armstrong’s cheecks. Is Nigel Eccles’s reputation as a prediction market analyst now in tatters?
Who will be Obama’s choice for VP?
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, Joe Biden, Kathleen Sebelius, play-money prediction markets, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction markets, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice president, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP-candidate prediction markets, VPs
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ENDLESS VEEPSTAKES: Why you should never trade on VP prediction markets, and why their probabilistic predictions are as stochastic as Paris Hilton’s daily dress picks.
As I explained in early June 2008, the VP speculations that appear in the Press should never be taken seriously. Most of them (and you don’t know which ones) are a big orchestration of pure lies aimed at creating publicity, … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Caveat Bettor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Jack Shafer, Joe Biden, John McCain, Justin Wolfers, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, VP-candidate prediction markets
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5 Comments