Tag Archives: Paul Rhode

2020′s PREDICTION MARKET JOURNALISM = Polls + Experts + Prediction Markets

Posted on April 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Justin Wolfers interview: [...] Wolfers predicted that cable news shows would turn to prediction-market experts for analysis in 2008. â€œMy forecast is that theyâ€™ll either have someone in the studio whose job it is to track the markets, or … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism | Tagged 2020, Barack Obama, business professor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, experts, Hillary Clinton, jounalism, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, political elections, political races, Politics, polls, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, reporting, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School | 2 Comments

This could be the election cycle that legitimizes Web-based prediction markets.

Posted on April 28, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Let’s hope that that WSJ columnist is right. – Another MSM journalist who draws heavily on Koleman Strumpf‘s work and does not cite him, or his colleague (Paul Rhode). What a shame. PDF file of the paper on historical prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism, Regulations | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, Koleman Strumpf, MSM journalist, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, Web-based prediction markets, WSJ columnist | Leave a comment

Prediction Market Journalism

Posted on March 1, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Credit: Scientific American magazine – Abstract Via Mat Fogarty of Xpree (an innovative firm providing software for enterprise prediction markets) Ask me by e-mail to get a copy of the PDF file. – The problem with the bold statement in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Prediction Journalism | Tagged business professor, Chapel Hill, Charles Evans Hughes, Dublin, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade.com, Journalism, Justin Wolfers, Las Vegas, New York, North Carolina, online prediction markets, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, professor of economic history, Scientific American, secondary forecasting tools, The New York Herald Tribune, the New York Times, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, The Wall Street Journal, United States, University of North Carolina, USD, Wall Street Journal, Woodrow Wilson, Xpree | 6 Comments

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

Posted on January 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The Journal of Prediction Markets: The Journal of Prediction Markets Editor: Leighton Vaughan Williams Associate Editors: John Delaney – CEO InTrade Bruno Deschamps – University of Bath Olivier Gergaud – UniversitÃ© de Reims Champagne-Ardennes Robin Hanson – George Mason University … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Resources - References | Tagged academics, Arizona, Bruno Deschamps, Business, Canterbury University, CEO, Charles Noussair, David Paton, Editor, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Emory University, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, George Mason University, Jed Christiansen, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Michael Smith, Niall O'Connor, Nottingham University Business School, Olivier Gergaud, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, PMIA, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Stanford Graduate School, The Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Arizona, University of Bath, University of Kansas School of Business, University of Passau Koleman Strumpf, University of Pennsylvania | 1 Comment

Justin Wolfers dreams of a prediction market land, where exchange odds are cited but not the polls.

Posted on November 15, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Knowledge @ Wharton (on polls): The Power of Prediction Markets The rapidly changing landscape of responders and related technology factors are two reasons why Justin Wolfers, Wharton professor of business and public policy, believes in the power of prediction, or … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Prediction Journalism | Tagged CEO, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Forrest Nelson, France, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, NewsFutures, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, Professor of Business, technology factors, The Netherlands, the New York Times, United States, western Europe, Wharton professor, Wharton professor of business and public policy | 4 Comments

Prediction Market History + Prediction Market Journalism

Posted on November 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The New York Times: [...] Long before political prediction markets sprouted on the Internet, election bets â€” whether the stakes were money or embarrassing public spectacles â€” were a ubiquitous part of the American political scene. The practice, which began … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, History, Prediction Journalism | Tagged bet exchanges, betting exchanges, business professor, Chapel Hill, Charles Evans Hughes, Dublin, event derivative markets, event derivatives, History, InTrade.com, Justin Wolfers, Las Vegas, New York, news media, North Carolina, online prediction markets, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, professor of economic history, The New York Herald Tribune, the New York Times, the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, United States, University of North Carolina, USA, USD, Wall Street, Woodrow Wilson | 1 Comment

Reminder: Corporate Applications of Prediction Markets Conference (1 November)

Posted on October 25, 2007 by Koleman Strumpf

The conference will be held next Thursday (1 November) at the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City. All of the details are available on the conference webpage (http://people.ku.edu/~cigar/PMConf_2007) and the schedule is listed below. I am pleased to note that Mat … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings | Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center on Regulatory Studies, Alexander Costakis, Arizona, Best Buy, Brookings Institution, CEO, Chapman University School of Law, Christina Ann LaComb, Co-Founder and CEO, Co-Founder and President, Consensus, David Perry, Dawn Keller, Department of Economics, Director, Discussion, Eller College of Management, Eric Zitzewitz, Founder and CEO, General, George Mason, George Mason Department of Economics, Google, Henry Berg, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, InTrade, Jim Lavoie, John Delaney, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kellogg, Managing Director, Marco Ottaviani, Mat Fogarty, Microsoft, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, President, Rite, Robert E. Litan, Robin Hanson, School of Management, Senior Fellow, Tom W. Bell, University of Arizona, VP Research and Policy, Xpree, Xpree Inc | Leave a comment

Conference: Corporate Applications of Prediction/Information Markets (Thursday, 1 November 2007)

Posted on September 17, 2007 by Koleman Strumpf

I have organized a conference on corporate prediction markets which may be of interest to Midas Oracle readers. It will take place on 1 November at the Kauffman Foundation in Kansas City. All of the details are available on the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings | Tagged AEI-Brookings Joint Center on Regulatory Studies, Arizona, Best Buy, Brookings Institution, CEO, Chapman University School of Law, Christina Ann LaComb, Co-Founder and CEO, Co-Founder and President, Consensus, David Perry, Dawn Keller, Department of Economics, Director, Discussion, Eller College of Management, Eric Zitzewitz, Founder and CEO, General, George Mason, George Mason Department of Economics, Google, Henry Berg, InTrade, Jim Lavoie, John Delaney, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kellogg, Marco Ottaviani, Microsoft, Paul Rhode, prediction markets, President, Rite, Robert E. Litan, Robin Hanson, School of Management, Tom W. Bell, University of Arizona, VP Research and Policy | Leave a comment

BetFair’s historical lie

Posted on September 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Sporting Exchange (the owner of the BetFair brand): Betfair is the world’s leading online betting exchange, a concept it has pioneered. [1] Driven by cutting-edge technology, Betfair enables punters to choose their own odds and bet against each other, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged BetFair, BetFair Mobile, GBP, Koleman Strumpf, Malta, New York, own Betfair Mobile, Paul Rhode, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Pinching Adam Siegelâ€™s noseâ€¦ AGAIN.

Posted on August 29, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Inkling Markets: What are some examples of public prediction markets? One of the first and oldest prediction markets [*] was run by the University of Iowa in 1998 [**] to predict the outcome of United States Presidential Elections. [***] In … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), History | Tagged Adam, Adam Siegel, Commodities Futures Trading Commission, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Iowa, Ireland, Koleman Strumpf, Middle East, Paul Rhode, Pentagon, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, The University of Iowa, to forecast product, United States, US DoD, Wall Street, Washington Stock Exchange | Leave a comment

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