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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: MSR
CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts
The fine people at CrowdCast (Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine) are finally out today with their brand-new, no-trading, collective forecasting mechanism. The purpose is to aggregate information across one organization so as to generate the most objective business forecasts. The … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs, Software
Tagged Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, employee intelligence, enterprise intelligence, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, forecasting, information aggregation, information aggregation mechanisms, internal prediction markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, trading, Xpree
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Why CrowdCast ditched Robin Hanson’s MSR as the engine of its IAM software
- Leslie Fine of CrowdCast: Chris, As Emile points out, in 2003 I started experimenting with (and empirically validating) alternatives to the traditional stock-market metaphor that will be more viable in corporate settings. We found the level of confusion and … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs
Tagged Betting, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, enterprise prediction markets, information aggregation, internal prediction markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, trading, Xpree
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CDA, MSR, the automated market makers, and the human market makers
Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Mechanism Designs, Midas Oracle Archives
Tagged automated market makers, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, zigzagging
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Emile Servan-Schreiber’s Jedi mind tricks didn’t work on Nigel Eccles.
The conversation ended up on a draw. Robin Hanson was AWOL.
Since YooPick opened their door, Midas Oracle has been getting, daily, 2 or 3 dozens referrals from FaceBook.
I understand that YooPick is a FaceBook application, but I’d like to know what these people are talking about, and in what context they link to Midas Oracle, and what they expect to find out on Midas Oracle when they … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Midas Oracle Network, Midas Oracle Statistics
Tagged David Pennock, FaceBook, Google, Google Search, Google Web Search, Internet Marketing, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Internet search engines, intrepid webmaster, market scoring rule, Market Scoring Rules, Midas Oracle, MSR, play-money betting, play-money trading, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Search Engines, social networking, social networking websites, Web search, YooPick
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HOW TO DESTROY INTRADE, TRADESPORTS AND BETFAIR: a betting application for FaceBook
If US laws were gambling compatible, would a FaceBook betting application solve the chicken-and-egg problem that any brand-new prediction exchange is facing? (Short sellers will come to the exchange only if there are enough backers, who will come only if … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Inventions & Innovations, Mechanism Designs
Tagged David Pennock, FaceBook, market scoring rule, Market Scoring Rules, MSR, play-money betting, play-money trading, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, YooPick
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Grave problem with MSR that Robin Hanson and/or exchange executives should address
When there’re few trades (in this case, only 3), the last price/probability is too much dependent on the initial price set up by the exchange manager. – Nigel, you f***ed it up. I want your apology letter posted on Midas … Continue reading