Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: global warming

ClimateGate: How leftist scientists cooked the data on climate change to scare the hell out of people – [VIDEO]

Here’s the report the US Senator is talking about in this video.

Nathan Myhrvold on geo-engineering to combat global warming

Great interview on CNN — video.
He also talks about “investing in inventions”.

The Climate Gate scandal highlights the modus operandi of the academic mafia.

Required reading this Friday:
- How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus – About expelling the non-believers from the academic journals publishing on climate science
- The Dog Ate Global Warming – About the destruction of raw temperature data of Planet Earth
More info on climate change.
P.S.: East Anglia e-mails (CRU)

Climate Stats = Sausage Making

How to Make Your Own Hockey Stick – Required reading for our good friend Caveat Bettor.
More info on “climategate” at Memeorandum
“Hide the decline”

“Hide the decline”

How they shut up the free press at Copenhagen

Every time the global temperature data gets revised and homogenized, the trends keep increasing.

One scientist investigated data from one source:
What this does show is that there is at least one temperature station where the trend has been artificially increased to give a false warming where the raw data shows cooling. In addition, the average raw data for Northern Australia is quite different from the adjusted, so there must [...]

ClimateGate, Cap and Trade, and Copenhagen

A British professor in favor of global warming called an American climate skeptic “an asshole” live on BBC’s NewsNight.

“What an asshole!” declared Professor Watson at the end of the contentious debate with Climate Depot’s executive editor Marc Morano. A clearly agitated Watson had earlier shouted to Morano “will you shut up.”
More on Memeorandum

UPDATE:
- Understanding Climategate’s Hidden Decline
- Leaked emails from the Climatic Research Unit show how the world’s weightiest climate data has been [...]

Paul Hewitt on Rajiv Sethi on Nate Silver on Robin Hanson on climate change prediction markets

Measuring Decision Market Accuracy

Betting on Copenhagen

Emile Servan-Schreiber comments on a New York Times opinion piece:
The idea that betting could help us gain clarity on some controversial scientific questions has first been proposed by George Mason economics professor Robin Hanson in 1992 in a paper entitled “Could Gambling Save Science” and available online here: http://hanson.gmu.edu/gamble.html
The benefits of creating prediction markets about [...]

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