Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Emile Servan-Shreiber

HISTORY: Prediction Markets Timeline

For an updated version of this document, see the “paged” Prediction Markets Timeline.
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CHRONOLOGY & HISTORY: Prediction Markets Timeline
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Feel free to post a comment or contact me, and I’ll correct or add a factoid. Thanks.
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#1. Historical Prediction Markets
According to Paul Rhode and Koleman Strumpf, prediction markets almost never got it wrong forecasting the 19 presidential elections [...]

The Second Workshop on Prediction Markets

I spent some time in San Diego earlier this month for the The Second Workshop on Prediction Markets in conjunction with EC’07, which is part of FCRC 2007. The workshop was very successful. The participants were as diverse as one always expects, coming from different fields: economics, business, computer science, law, medicine, [...]

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