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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Category Archives: X Groups
Mike Linksvayer *himself* is to blame for the non-liquidity of his Wikipedia prediction markets.
Mike Linksvayer: Prior to the Wikipedia community vote on adopting CC BY-SA it crossed my mind to set up several play money prediction market contracts concerning the above outcomes conditioned on Wikipedia adopting CC BY-SA by August 1, 2009, for … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, X Groups
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, Internet Marketing, liquidity, marketing, Mike Linksvayer, prediction markets, Wikipedia, X Groups
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Predictify gets the X Groups concept right.
#1. X Groups Predictify is unveiling a two-way interaction between their prediction platform and the blogs out there. FROM THE BLOGS TO PREDICTIFY: Number one, there is now a customized prediction widget that bloggers can embed in their blog posts … Continue reading
HubDub = Prediction Exchange + News Aggregator + Social Networking System
By how much will Porsche’s profit be higher than its turnover? Interesting new prediction market at HubDub. – What I have just realized is that the most sociable of the HubDub traders (like the one who created the question above) … Continue reading
Producer of the Freakonomics documentary urges devotees to buy the event derivative at the Hollywood Stock Exchange. Price moves up.
- Freakonomics: July 22nd, 2008 4:47 pm I am producing the Freakonomics documentary, so I am particularly interested to read the comments to Prof. Strumpf’s guest post. Koleman properly identified the likely reasons for FRKON’s summer swoon on the Hollywood … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, X Groups
Tagged Chad Troutwine, Executive Producer, Freakonomics documentary. Freakonomics, FRKON, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, independent producer, Paris, prediction markets, producer, Stephen, Steven, Strumpf
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Prediction Market Management — Foresight Exchange vs. Inkling Markets & HubDub
This is a follow-up post. — Ken Kittlitz (the head of the Foresight Exchange) to me: You’re correct, the owner of an FX claim must find a different FX player to act as the judge. This is largely to ensure … Continue reading
An automated market maker subisdizes Robin Hanson’s presidential decision-aid markets on Intrade
Peter McCluskey: Automated Market Maker for certain Intrade contracts I have implemented subsidies to encourage trading of some conditional prediction market contracts that may provide useful information about the consequences of the 2008 presidential election, via a simple automated market … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), X Groups
Tagged automated market maker, Clinton, conditional prediction markets, Congratulations Robin, decision markets, decision-aid markets, Democrat president, Democratic party, Federal Reserve System, InTrade, Iraq, Justin Wolfers, oil prices, Peter McCluskey, prediction markets, President, presidential decision markets, Python, Republican U.S., Robin Hanson, United States, University of Westminster, US government, US Treasury, USD
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Community Prediction Markets = X Groups
InTrade-TradeSports has had a long-lasting relationship with the blog Real Clear Politics. As soon as I created Midas Oracle, in the fall of 2006, one of the first things I blogged about was that relationship between InTrade and this political … Continue reading
THE FREAKONOMICS BLOG AND THE JATROPHA PREDICTION MARKET AT POPSCI PPX NOW FORM AN X GROUP.
Wow. History-making moment, folks. Steve Levitt: September 5, 2007, 9:33 am When Dubner Talks, People Listen By Steven D. Levitt Well, at least the folks at the PopSci Predictions Exchange listen. Last week Dubner blogged about Jatropha, a weed that … Continue reading