Category Archives: Mechanism Designs

A Multi-Agent Prediction Market Based on Boolean Network Evolution — [PAPER]

A Multi-Agent Prediction Market Based on Boolean Network Evolution – PDF file.

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The betting revolution in horse racing — [VIDEO]

CNN.

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Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]

http://corporate.crowdpark.com/ http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/

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David Pennock on Predictalot — [LINK]

… in Freakonomics.

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PREDICTALOT IS THE LARGEST PREDICTION EXCHANGE CREATED BY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES (9.2 QUINTILLION). — [LINK]

http://predictalot.yahoo.com/ Predictalot on FaceBook. David Pennock: I believe it’s the largest prediction market created by number of outcomes (9.2 quintillion). We’re approximating a #P-hard problem to get the odds. More here. I believe v0.3 is faster and easier to use … Continue reading

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Trading on Inkling’s prediction markets – [VIDEO]

More.

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David Pennock wants you to believe that InTrade needs Robin Hanson’s automated market maker.

“Our market maker automatically adjusts its level of liquidity depending on trading volume. Prices start off very responsive and, as volume increases, liquidity grows, obviating the need to somehow guess the ‘right’ level before trading even starts.”

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Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot

Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament. Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella? Economists: Play with a true combinatorial … Continue reading

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Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)

Predictalot David Pennock explains Predictalot.

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The Prediction Market Police

I should have listened to Panos Ipeirotis…!!!…

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