Category Archives: Market Genesis

Your prediction markets can power the American Civics Exchange. — [IDEA MILL]

Posted on August 4, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

American Civics Exchange: Having just executed an initial round of closings for the funding we’ve been raising, we’re entering the final run-up to our real-money trading launch. With that in mind, we’ve launched a community feature where prospective traders (and … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis | Tagged All Rockets Ready To Fly, American Civics Exchange, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, event derivative markets, event derivatives, exchange genesis, forecasting, genesis, IDEAS, market genesis, predicting, prediction, prediction markets, Predictions, proposals | Leave a comment

InTrade floats Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s life. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

Posted on May 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade: New Prediction Market: Dominique Strauss-Kahn Tuesday, May 17, 2011 On May 16th 2011 Dominique Strauss-Kahn appeared in New York City Criminal Court and was charged with two counts of a criminal sexual act in the first degree , first-degree … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Genesis | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, contracts, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, DSK, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasts, France, French politics, horny chimpazee, I.M.F., IMF chief, International Monetary Fund, InTrade, politicians, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, rutting chimpazee, Tristane Banon, world politics | Leave a comment

British electors don’t want to change their electoral system. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

Posted on May 4, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Question asked on May 5, 2011 (United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum): At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead? Here’s BetFair’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged AV Referendum, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasts, GB, Great Britain, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, referendum, UK, UK politics, United Kingdom, United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum 2011 | Leave a comment

The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 6 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Posted on March 15, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Right-click the chart to get the latest probabilities: NHK WORLD TV live on USTREAM. PREVIOUSLY: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Asia, bets, Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, earthquake, electricity, energy, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Fukushima, Fukushima Nuclear Plant, IAEA, International Atomic Energy Agency, InTrade, Japan, nuclear energy, nuclear power, nuclear power plants, prediction markets, risks, tsunami | Leave a comment

Why does nobody trade the iPad prediction markets at InTrade? – [QUESTION]

Posted on March 3, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Anybody has the theory on why this trade is not popular?

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity | Tagged Apple, Apple IPad, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, iPad, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Arab Revolt Prediction Markets – {Predictions for next Arab country to revolt} – {Which country is the next ‘domino’?} – {What will happen in the Middle East & Northern Africa?} – [PREDICTION MARKET CHARTS]

Posted on February 22, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Predictions for next Arab country to revolt: Libya — Muammar al-Gaddafi – [5 spellings: Gaddafi, Qaddafi, Gadhafi, Khadafy and Khadafi]: Bahrain — Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah: Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh: Iran — Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: Iran — Seyed Ali Hoseyni … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged Ali Abdullah Saleh, Arab countries, Arabs, Bahrain, bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, forecasts, Gaddafi, Gadhafi, InTrade, Iran, Khadafi, Khadafy, Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah, Libya, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Muammar al-Gaddafi, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Qaddafi, Seyed Ali Hoseyni KhÄmeneâ€™i, traders, trading, world politcs, Yemen | Leave a comment

InTrade try to clean up the mess, without acknowledging their mistake. – [OPINION]

Posted on February 7, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

“Intrade has listed a number of new markets related to the actual departure of President Mubarak.” What a shame. InTrade is managed by a bunch of incapable incompetents. FINAL UPDATE: InTrade CEO John Delaney apologizes for the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Genesis, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, diplomacy, Egypt, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hosni Mubarak, Politics, prediction markets, President Mubarak, world politics | Leave a comment

Iowa Electronic Markets’s George Neumann on InTrade prediction markets for Lloyd Blankfein resignation: “itâ€™s in bad taste”.

Posted on April 30, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

George, les goÃ»ts et les couleurs, Ã§a ne se discute pas.

Posted in Business, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged betting markets, Ethics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, George Neumann, George R. Neumann, Goldman Sachs, InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, Lloyd Blankfein, Lloyd C. Blankfein, prediction markets, resignation, taste | 1 Comment

CFTC approves the Cantor Exchange, but won’t approve its movie box-office prediction markets.

Posted on April 21, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

CFTC has approved the Cantor Exchange… …but won’t approve its movie box-office prediction markets. Update.

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, Market Genesis, Regulations | Tagged betting markets, Cantor Exchange, Cantor Fitzgerald, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, movie box office, movie business, movies, prediction markets | 2 Comments

CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton on the Trend Exchange and the Cantor Exchange’s movie box-office prediction markets

Posted on April 18, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton on the movie box-office futures: Via Max Keiser… who has this to say: Iâ€™m glad Chilton brought this up. When I was CEO of HSX â€“ I shared a board seat with members who were also … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, Market Genesis | Tagged Bart Chilton, betting markets, Cantor Exchange, Cantor Fitzgerald, CFTC, CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, futures, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, MDEX, Media Derivatives, Media Derivatives Exchange, movie box office, movie business, movie futures, movies, prediction markets, Trend Exchange | Leave a comment