Category Archives: Market Genesis

Your prediction markets can power the American Civics Exchange. — [IDEA MILL]

American Civics Exchange: Having just executed an initial round of closings for the funding we’ve been raising, we’re entering the final run-up to our real-money trading launch. With that in mind, we’ve launched a community feature where prospective traders (and … Continue reading

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InTrade floats Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s life. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

InTrade: New Prediction Market: Dominique Strauss-Kahn Tuesday, May 17, 2011 On May 16th 2011 Dominique Strauss-Kahn appeared in New York City Criminal Court and was charged with two counts of a criminal sexual act in the first degree , first-degree … Continue reading

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British electors don’t want to change their electoral system. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

Question asked on May 5, 2011 (United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum): At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead? Here’s BetFair’s … Continue reading

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The IAEA to upgrade Fukushima to a Level 6 accident before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 — [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Right-click the chart to get the latest probabilities: NHK WORLD TV live on USTREAM. PREVIOUSLY: The Japanese professor who predicted the nuclear disaster — [PREDICTION POST-MORTEM] NEXT: InTrade was not able to predict anything regarding the Fukushima nuclear energy plant. … Continue reading

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Why does nobody trade the iPad prediction markets at InTrade? – [QUESTION]

Anybody has the theory on why this trade is not popular?

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Arab Revolt Prediction Markets – {Predictions for next Arab country to revolt} – {Which country is the next ‘domino’?} – {What will happen in the Middle East & Northern Africa?} – [PREDICTION MARKET CHARTS]

Predictions for next Arab country to revolt: Libya — Muammar al-Gaddafi – [5 spellings: Gaddafi, Qaddafi, Gadhafi, Khadafy and Khadafi]: Bahrain — Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah: Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh: Iran — Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: Iran — Seyed Ali Hoseyni … Continue reading

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InTrade try to clean up the mess, without acknowledging their mistake. – [OPINION]

“Intrade has listed a number of new markets related to the actual departure of President Mubarak.” What a shame. InTrade is managed by a bunch of incapable incompetents. FINAL UPDATE: InTrade CEO John Delaney apologizes for the ‘Mubarak Departure’ prediction … Continue reading

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Iowa Electronic Markets’s George Neumann on InTrade prediction markets for Lloyd Blankfein resignation: “it’s in bad taste”.

George, les goûts et les couleurs, ça ne se discute pas.

Posted in Business, Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

CFTC approves the Cantor Exchange, but won’t approve its movie box-office prediction markets.

CFTC has approved the Cantor Exchange… …but won’t approve its movie box-office prediction markets. Update.

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, Market Genesis, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton on the Trend Exchange and the Cantor Exchange’s movie box-office prediction markets

CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton on the movie box-office futures: Via Max Keiser… who has this to say: I’m glad Chilton brought this up. When I was CEO of HSX – I shared a board seat with members who were also … Continue reading

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