Monthly Archives: March 2010

REVOLUTION: Nate Silver says the Internet changed everything in politics. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

16:35 into, Nate Silver is asked whether he would open up the data fire hose, one day:

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SXSW: Nate Silver explains how he approached political forecasting for the 2008 US presidential elections. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

In part #2, he speaks about the books he is writing:

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CONFUSED: Nate Silver’s marshmallow politics – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse
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ACCUSATION: Nate Silver over-uses Wikipedia. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse
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Nate Silver explains how he builds his forecasting models. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Via Joe Weisenthal

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In France, prediction markets are hyped by 2 bozo economists —David Thesmar and Augustin Landier.

Posted on March 8, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Emile Servan-Schreiber is doing a great job of putting prediction markets on the French media scene. (As I type this, he is on French TV.) 2 green-foot French economists (David Thesmar and Augustin Landier) are hyping the prediction markets in … Continue reading →

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Oscars 2010 Post-Mortem — InTrade Prediction Markets

Posted on March 8, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Mark Perry is wrong to yell victory. Evaluating probabilistic predictions is tougher than one thinks. Source: InTrade

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Logica FutureScope

Posted on March 8, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

http://www.logicafuturescope.com/ Info.

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Yahoo! economics – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 6, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

- Paul Milgrom, “Economics of Combinatorial Auctions” – Al Roth, “What Have We Learned from Market Design” – [YouTube equivalent] Yahoo! won’t let me embed the videos.

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Mark Davies spills the beans on how BetFair became #1.

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Mark Davies: [E]veryone did it a slightly different way. it wasn’t first-mover advantage at that point, because we weren’t first! But we were first to do it with a model that aggregated demand, whereas everyone else had a different model. … Continue reading →

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