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- Saint-Tropez — [VIDEO]
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- Apple does differently. — [VIDEO]
- Steve Wozniak on his achievements at Apple (and on Steve Jobs) — [VIDEO]
- Valve = the anti Apple — [INTERNAL DOCUMENT]
- Why Starbucks mistreats its customers — [VIDEO]
- The rise of the 1% is good for the economy. — [VIDEO]
- Numenta’s Grok prediction engine — [LINK]
- Pirated movies are more usable. — [INFOGRAPHIC]
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- Steve Jobs, the inventor — [VIDEO]
- Proposal for a better iPad keyboard — [VIDEO]
- Bain Capital’s Edward Conard on investing and risk taking — [LINK + VIDEO]
- Peter Thiel on the ‘oral test’ in the hiring process — [VIDEO]
- David Pennock and Duncan Watts are hired by MicroSoft’s NYC Lab. — [LINK]
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Monthly Archives: April 2009
A good blog that might be of interest to the prediction market people (you)
Market Design – by professor Al Roth (the world’s expert in market design) I have already plugged this blog, but will do it yet another time because of its many gems —some of which could be applied to prediction markets.
Posted in People, Resources - References
Tagged Al Roth, Economics, market design, Open Media
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“Building an exchange is challenging. Be patient. It is complex. It will take time. The retail derivatives market has a huge future.”
Who said that? Russell Andersson of HedgeStreet… and just two months later HedgeStreet did belly up. So I can safely publish the fact that Russell Andersson is not a seer —without risking any “class-action” defamation suit. From Deep Throat, we … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets, People
Tagged HedgeStreet, LinkedIn, Russell Andersson
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Does Russell Andersson misrepresent himself on LinkedIn?
His LinkedIn profile describes him as “currently” holding a VP position at HedgeStreet: – Reality Check: – The “management team” page of the HedgeStreet website lists Yossi Beinart (President and CEO), Peter C. Lee (COO), and Timothy McDermott (General Counsel). … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, People
Tagged Ethics, HedgeStreet, LinkedIn, Russell Andersson
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Get Rich Quick Thanks To InTrade
Start with 50 bucks, and very soon, you become rich like Croesus. Is that a coordinated marketing campaign?
Posted in Exchanges & Markets
Tagged Internet Marketing, InTrade, marketing, Wiser Than The Crowd
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Swine Flu Prediction Markets
will there be confirmed cases of swine flu on every continent by july 1? – SWINE FLU 2009: How many states will report cases of Swine flu by the end of May? – Will the Mexican/U.S. swine flu (A/H1N1) grow … Continue reading
McKinsey on prediction markets?
I exchange one McKinsey (if you have it) against one Forrester and one Gartner. Any taker? Contact moi.
The benefits of information aggregation mechanisms (IAMs), which encompass (enterprise) prediction markets, have been greatly exaggerated.
Gartner ranked the benefits given by software for enterprise prediction markets as “moderate” (look up the 3rd line of the 3rd column): – Gartner – Hype Cycle for Social Software, 2008 – (PDF file): – California Institute of Technology economist … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting
Tagged accuracy, Business, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Gartner, hype, internal prediction markets, prediction accuracy, prediction markets, private prediction markets, social software
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Great leaders’ personality type
EpiCenter: [...] was self-centered, imperious, arrogant, unyielding, and flawed in myriad other ways — but more importantly, he had genuine passion and the crucial ability to instill it in others. This made him far more compelling and ultimately more successful … Continue reading