Meta
-
Recent Posts
- Saint-Tropez — [VIDEO]
- HTLM 5 & Content — [VIDEO]
- Spies — [VIDEO]
- Apple does differently. — [VIDEO]
- Steve Wozniak on his achievements at Apple (and on Steve Jobs) — [VIDEO]
- Valve = the anti Apple — [INTERNAL DOCUMENT]
- Why Starbucks mistreats its customers — [VIDEO]
- The rise of the 1% is good for the economy. — [VIDEO]
- Numenta’s Grok prediction engine — [LINK]
- Pirated movies are more usable. — [INFOGRAPHIC]
- FaceBook’s Roadshow — [VIDEO]
- Congrats to François Hollande — [VIDEO]
- Steve Jobs, the inventor — [VIDEO]
- Proposal for a better iPad keyboard — [VIDEO]
- Bain Capital’s Edward Conard on investing and risk taking — [LINK + VIDEO]
- Peter Thiel on the ‘oral test’ in the hiring process — [VIDEO]
- David Pennock and Duncan Watts are hired by MicroSoft’s NYC Lab. — [LINK]
- Money, Power & Wall Street — [VIDEO]
- Apple’s taxes — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Kansas City — [VIDEO]
Monthly Archives: March 2008
Could a statistical reputation system built on top of Amazon’s Mechanical Turk be of any help to the prediction market firms?
- I leave the mic to David Pennock so that he’ll explain to you what this is all about. (Be sure to check Panos Ipeirotis‘ comment on Lukas Biewald‘ blog post.) [UPDATE: Panos has just made it into Read & … Continue reading
Heartthrob Alec Baldwin discusses the global impact of the subprime crisis, as seen by ex-HSX Max Keiser. What’s next? Britney Spears disserting on Robin Hanson’s futarchy?
- Alec Baldwin Max Keiser – - On related news, our international Max Keiser is brewing a prediction market TV show, as I told you in January 2008. Like Nostradamus, he will predict all kinds of cataclysms. We are trembling … Continue reading
Posted in Finance, Humor
Tagged Alec Baldwin, Britney Spears, Max Keiser, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, subprimes
1 Comment
How will AMEX avoid the fate of HedgeStreet, an exchange with similar products?
Asks Mark Longo. But did that same Mark Longo ask the hard questions to HedgeStreet’s Russell Andersson, when he interviewed him in the Summer of 2007, two months before the HedgeSteet immolation? Of course, not. Building an exchange is challenging. … Continue reading
2008 hurricane binary option contracts
- MondoVisione: Hurricane binary option contracts will pay the full contract value ($10,000) to the buyer if the combined CHI for all of the hurricanes during the season equals or exceeds a certain value (strike); otherwise, it pays nothing and … Continue reading
73% of journalists [*] sometimes or always use blogs in their research.
[*] = newspaper, magazine, TV, radio, and web journalists Editors & Publishers Via Henry Blodget (who is hilarious, as always) – Implications for the field of prediction markets (InTrade-TradeFair, BetFair-TradeFair, Betdaq, HSX, NewsFutures, Inkling Markets, etc.): The P.R. arm of … Continue reading
Information that is shared, but not sought, is now perceived as natural.
The New York Times – Implications for the field of prediction markets (InTrade-TradeFair, BetFair-TradeFair, Betdaq, HSX, NewsFutures, Inkling Markets, etc.): Publish the “Share This“ widget on each of your prediction market page, to make it easier for your customers to … Continue reading
BetFair multi-millionaire laughs openly about how he is going to fool the Court of Justice.
- Father-of-5, BetFair co-founder Andrew Black: From one court case to another, and I’m back in court today to appeal against my driving ban. I will of course look very sad and contrite and tell the court that I’ve learnt … Continue reading
BetFair is as innocent as a lamb… but their P.R. people can’t tell you that at this time. Here’s why.
- Dear Midas Oracle readers, Besides the facts about BetFair Malta’s combo market maker operating on the multiples (which Midas Oracle informed you about back in January 2007), you may have heard the rumor that BetFair UK (in HammerSmith, London) … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Prediction Journalism
Tagged Benjamin Franklin, BetFair, BetFair Malta, betting exchange, combo market maker, Editor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, freedom of speech, human market makers, Internet marketing
approach, London, multiples, Open Media, prediction exchange, prediction markets, rumors, site leads, United Kingdom, Voltaire, web forum, web forums
20 Comments
Smarkets is a Web-based, person-to-person betting exchange platform built on the fusion of social networking and trading technology.
Still-in-beta Smarkets blog (the “about” page): Smarkets is a web-based, person-to-person betting exchange platform built on the fusion of social networking and trading technology. Unlike traditional methods of betting, online betting exchanges remove the bookmaker by allowing users to bet … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged betting exchange, CEO / Co-founder, Chicago, corporate banking experience, CTO / Co-founder, Descipher, developed advanced high-performance distributed applications, event derivative exchange, event futures exchange, financial products, former successful equities
trader, Hunter, Hunter Morris, Jason Trost, London, Northwestern University, physician, prediction exchange, prediction markets, private investor, Smarkets, social networking, Software, software architect, Trader, UBS, web users, Wolverine Trading
Leave a comment
Robin Hanson wants to rule the world —just as CEOs and heads of states do for a living.
Our Master Of All Universes moans that the Free World’s private and public decision makers rarely or never ask him for advice —even though he sits on many “Boards Of Advisors” (like NewsFutures‘ one), which are, by definition, set up … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Humor, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Midas Oracle Administration
Tagged Boards Of Advisor, Collective Decision Making, economist, economists, Humor, Michael Giberson, Midas Oracle, NewsFutures, prediction markets, prestige value, Robin Hanson, Scientific Advisory Board
1 Comment