Bet on It! – (page two – page three + a crappy listing of exchanges) – by Steven Cherry […] Chris F. Masse, a [] consultant in Sophia Antipolis, France, who specializes in prediction markets, says that by 2010, “10 … Continue reading
And he could be right. The only way to evaluate accuracy of predictions is with a sufficient group or series of predictions. I don’-t disagree with that. My previous blog post on the Karl Rove prediction market simply stated that: … Continue reading
UPDATE: WARNING: Even though the Intel director uses 15 times the term “prediction markets” in this paper, the forecasting tool they have been using is another form of information aggregation mechanism. —- Via the absolutely indispensable but nevertheless extremely modest … Continue reading
BetFair Bet-o-Mobile: a vehicle with 19 TV screens, wireless Internet access and live satellite TV feeds AV Interactive: [Betting exchange (real-money prediction exchange, event derivative exchange)] Betfair has commissioned a mobile display unit that will tour UK sporting events. The … Continue reading
Google CEO Eric Schmidt: […] The book Wisdom of Crowds (by James Surowiecki) says that you have to have two things to make better decisions in groups. One is you need a deadline, which someone —- at the end of … Continue reading
– You Tube streaming video (Feb. 2007): Larry Page speaks at the AAAS (The American Association for the Advancement of Science) by CNET Larry Page’-s main advice to the scientists in the room: take their scientific studies, market them better … Continue reading
HSX Amy Lamare: Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX.com) Traders correctly picked 7 out of 8 Top Category Oscar Winners to continue its stellar record.Los Angeles, California, February 26, 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), announced a spectacular 88% success rate for … Continue reading
The simExchange, a virtual video game stock exchange, is a new project to help gamers learn about upcoming video games and predict how well they will sell. Countless new games are on the horizon all the time and it is … Continue reading
I’-ll do the upgrading sometime this week —-probably in the early morning (EST). New features: – Autosave makes sure you never lose a post again.– Our new tabbed editor allows you to switch between WYSIWYG and code editing instantly while … Continue reading
There’-s a set of Robin Hanson slides that are much more interesting than the presentation he gave at Yahoo! Confab. – It’-s bigger (67 slides vs. 21) and it covers the prediction market problematic in a more comprehensive way (including … Continue reading
