LinkedIn will be data-mining its database of millions of users to find potential experts.

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Tim O&#8217-Reilly

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • WARREN BUFFETT: I said that the US dollar might be “worth less” in five to ten years —not that it might be “worthless”.
  • The Year Of The Rat should bring $$$ to the prediction market industry and the event derivative traders.
  • WordPress founder Matt Mullenweg is my hero and so he should be yours.
  • InTrade-TradeSports has seen more than $50 million wagered on the U.S. presidential election.
  • Prediction markets on who is going to win an election are more accurate then the final Gallup poll.
  • Britons can’t get enough of Yankees’ politics.
  • TURNING POINT: BARACK OBAMA EVENT DERIVATIVE NOW AHEAD FOR BOTH DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION AND NOVEMBER’S ELECTION.

The InTrade webmaster is a moron.

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InTrade bulletin

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • WordPress founder Matt Mullenweg is my hero and so he should be yours.
  • InTrade-TradeSports has seen more than $50 million wagered on the U.S. presidential election.
  • Prediction markets on who is going to win an election are more accurate then the final Gallup poll.
  • LinkedIn will be data-mining its database of millions of users to find potential experts.
  • Britons can’t get enough of Yankee’s politics.
  • TURNING POINT: BARACK OBAMA EVENT DERIVATIVE NOW AHEAD FOR BOTH DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION AND NOVEMBER’S ELECTION.
  • Five reasons Hillary Clinton should be worried

The US futures exchanges should not control clearing.

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No Gravatar&#8230- says the US DOJ.

The Justice Department called for a shake-up of financial-futures exchanges, saying current policies may have inhibited competition. – WSJ $$$

Chicago Tribune

FT

BW

Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • I get a kick each morning out of spying on the rich, famous, and powerful people updating their LinkedIn profile and connections. (Go to “InBox”, and click on “Network Updates”.)
  • ??? BetFair bet-matching logic ???
  • Eliot Spitzer has simply demonstrated once again that those who rise to the top of organizations are very often the most demented, conflicted individuals in any group.
  • Business Risks & Prediction Markets
  • Brand-new BetFair bet-matching logic proves to be very controversial with some event derivative traders.
  • Jimmy Wales accused of editing Wikipedia for donations.
  • What the prediction market experts said on Predictify

The Best External Web Links On Prediction Markets And On Everything Else

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No GravatarFolks,

I have just updated the &#8220-Links&#8221- page. Could you right-click on that link, open the link in another browser tab, scan the long list, spot what&#8217-s missing, and contact me so I can add new web links? Thanks.

There are 304 links, there. Here are the 15 categories:

– Associations
– Blogs
– Books
– Exchanges &#038- Markets
– Experts &#038- Scholars
– Forums
– Media
– Midas Oracle Network
– References
– Search Engines
– Shared Readings
– Social Favorites
– Software
– Think Tanks
– Tools

Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • Is Justin Wolfers a libertarian? Probably not.
  • The information technology that caught Eliot Spitzer
  • Eric Zitzewitz’s 10 minutes of fame
  • Fun with conditional probabilities
  • Wrongly Crafted Headlines Of The Day
  • an American, petite, very pretty brunette, 5 feet 5 inches, and 105 pounds
  • Mississippi: Is it a primary or a caucus?

The Economist rebuts Paul Krugman.

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No GravatarSee the title of that post: &#8220-The market sees all, knows all&#8221-. :-D

The Economist

Read the previous blog posts by Chris F. Masse:

  • Is Justin Wolfers a libertarian? Probably not.
  • The information technology that caught Eliot Spitzer
  • Eric Zitzewitz’s 10 minutes of fame
  • Fun with conditional probabilities
  • Wrongly Crafted Headlines Of The Day
  • an American, petite, very pretty brunette, 5 feet 5 inches, and 105 pounds
  • Mississippi: Is it a primary or a caucus?

Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday

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Both the prediction market and the pollster called 5 of the 7 head-to-head contest winners, so it was mostly ties between them. But in the NJ Democratic primary and the California Republican primary, Intrade contracts pointed to the winner on election eve, while Zogby indicated a tie in NJ and Romney in California.

Standings&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-
WinsLossesTiesPctContenderAvg Eve Prob
&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-&nbsp-
52959.4%Intrade69.6%
25940.6%Zogby39.2%

Contest-by-contest breakdown at Caveat Bettor.

I was disappointed that Zogby only presented polling on 7 of the 20 contests on Super Tuesday.

Guess who is going to blog…

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Carl Icahn

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • Five reasons Hillary Clinton should be worried
  • TURNING POINT: BARACK OBAMA EVENT DERIVATIVE NOW AHEAD
  • The Best External Web Links On Prediction Markets And On Everything Else
  • The InTrade webmaster is a moron.
  • The Economist rebuts Paul Krugman.
  • The US futures exchanges should not control clearing.
  • Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman: “I don’t feel like a wealthy person.”

Stuck at your computer? Watch MSNBC on Midas Oracle, straight from your desk.

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Well&#8230- if the embedded video works fine. (If not, go to the site, and click on &#8220-MSNBC live feed&#8221-.)

MSNBC

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • Five reasons Hillary Clinton should be worried
  • TURNING POINT: BARACK OBAMA EVENT DERIVATIVE NOW AHEAD
  • The Best External Web Links On Prediction Markets And On Everything Else
  • The InTrade webmaster is a moron.
  • The Economist rebuts Paul Krugman.
  • The US futures exchanges should not control clearing.
  • Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman: “I don’t feel like a wealthy person.”