Prediction markets about science and technology

No Gravatar

http://science.newsfutures.com/

NewsFutures + Science &amp- Vie (a science magazine published in the F country)

In French, alas, but I am sure Emile would lend the same technology to some English-speaking magazines in the U.S. or the U.K. that would want to open the same kind of prediction exchange for science.

Ten people are bidding on a stock at 90, while 100 people are offering to sell it at 91. What price is the next trade?

No Gravatar

Slate:

Interviewees often say that since there are more sellers than buyers, the sellers get to determine the price. That logic usually yields an answer between 90 and 91. That&#8217-s exactly wrong. &#8220-They&#8217-re not thinking about what&#8217-s going on in the real world,&#8221- says Rubczyk. In reality, when there are more sellers than buyers, the price falls. So the next sale would probably be in the mid- to low 80s.

&#8220-Some candidates would say you can&#8217-t answer that question, because there&#8217-s no formula,&#8221- says Rusczyk. &#8220-If that makes their heads explode, that&#8217-s a problem.&#8221-

What would our Jason Ruspini have answered to that quiz?

Connect With Fans (CwF) + Reason To Buy (RtB) = The Business Model ($$$$)

No Gravatar

Trent Reznor (the leader of Nine Inch Nails) offers his music for free on the Internet. He manages to make money selling concerts and merchandising products thanks to the community of fans he has empowered on his website. He does this using all the Web 2.0 tools you can think of. Wired has an extensive reporting on it, which you should bookmark and read it in whole when you have 5 minutes, later today or later this week. Even though most of you, my readers, don&#8217-t work in the music industry, the marketing concepts and actions exposed in this article are relevant to your business &#8212-they are relevant to any business (including the prediction market industry).

Previously: MO

External: Mike Masnik + CC + YouTube

Wrong Tomorrow Here today

No Gravatar

I have posted this just to show that it is possible to beat Mr Masse at his own game- namely uncovering prediction market related websites.

Wrong Tomorrow is a site hosted by the one and only Maciej Ceglowski – whoever the hell he may be. The site is riddled with flaws, but perhaps the good prediction market people could assist said gent by pointing them out.  And, accordingly, I have no doubt that the aforementioned Mr Masse will activate the following link forthwith.

http://wrongtomorrow.com/

Paul Hewitt on enterprise prediction markets

No Gravatar

– Here, in response to Jed Christiansen. (Scroll down.)

– Here, on his own blog.

Interesting. (Paul should learn to pepper his posts with external links, though. Otherwise, a web visitor out of the loop can&#8217-t get the background of an issue that is discussed. The foundation of the Web is hyper-linking, Paul.)

The software I use on my MacBook Pro 17″

No Gravatar

If you use some great software packages (utilities or applications) missing in this list, let me know. Thanks. Appreciated.

  • Operating Systems: Linux – Ubuntu – Apple Macintosh OS – Apple iPhone OS – MicroSoft Windows
  • Open-Source Software Packages: Open-Source Software Packages – Open-Source Mac – Open-Source iPhone Software – Open-Source Windows
  • Linux: &#8212-
  • Macintosh: – ClamXav – The Unarchiver – Disk Inventory X – OnyX – Maintenance – Deeper – Desktop Inspector – Service Scrubber – AppCleaner – Burn – QuickSilver – MercuryMover – CyberDuck – iRed Lite – KisMac – Adium – Fink – Fink Commander – NeoOffice – Aquamacs Emacs – Apple iLife – Apple iWork –
  • Windows: – ClamWin – AVG Free – IZArc – Programmer&#8217-s NotePad – IrFanView – ListGarden – Core FTP – WinAMP – Real – Cube Explorer –
  • Cross-Platform: – Java – Skype – Mozilla FireFox – Opera – Chrome – Apple Safari – GreaseMonkey for FireFox – Mozilla ThunderBird – RSS Owl – Adobe PDF Reader –  VLC – Apple QuickTime – Audacity – GIMP – Inkscape – Blender – Open Office – Kompozer – Nvu – R – Vdrift –

UPDATE: Chris Hibbert lists his favorite software packages for Macintosh in the comment area. (I used his tips to update the listing above.)