Tag Archives: real-money prediction markets

Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]

Posted on February 2, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

Did Eric Zitzewitz read Dodd-Frank? Jason Ruspini: Unfortunately, election contracts and ALL event contracts appear to be prohibited by CFTC regulation 40.11, released in July 2011 as part of Dodd-Frank: “(a) Prohibition. A registered entity shall not list for trading … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged academia, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, Dodd-Frank, Economics, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, forecasting, Jason Ruspini, laws, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research | 1 Comment

Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]

Posted on February 2, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

Eric Zitzewitz: We are academic researchers who study prediction markets. We are writing in favor of allowing NADEX, or a similar entity, to offer a broad range of political and policy event futures, including the three they are currently proposing. … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Regulations | Tagged academia, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, Economics, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, forecasting, laws, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research | Leave a comment

American Civics Exchange – [STEALTH MODE]

Posted on February 28, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

American Civics Exchange. – They have complied with Dodd-Frank (and else). They are gearing up for real-money launch, in some months. They will organize real-money prediction markets on tax and financial issues. Looks *very* interesting. Bloomberg Government. Best of luck … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets | Tagged American Civics Exchange, beting, bets, betting markets, Bloomberg Government, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Flip Pidot, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets | Leave a comment

Wolfy is cited FIVE TIMES in this prediction market story.

Posted on December 1, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Political prediction markets @ Politico –> The sur-excited Wolfy exaggerates the usefulness of the prediction markets. –> ‘Yay, free markets!… Greed is good!… Yep, people respond to incentives!… Markets work!… Capitalism triumphs.’

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, IEM, InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, Justin Wolfers, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, US politics | Leave a comment

Sports Risk Index would allow you to hedge risks on sport prediction markets.

Posted on September 24, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

The patent. The latest developments. (audio) I am skeptical, since the US Congress has just outlawed movie prediction markets, but I wish good luck to Chris Rabelais et al. Maybe the political scene will be different next year, who knows. … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Hedging & Insurance | Tagged betting markets, CFTC, Chris Rabalais, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Crystal World Holdings, Crystal World Markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Sports, Sports Risk Index, SportsRiskIndex, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission | Leave a comment

No real-money prediction markets in the US till 2010 or 2011 —at best.

Posted on December 1, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Start-Ups Hedging Their Bets On Online-Gambling Legislation. Wall Street Journal: Gerard Cunningham, president of BetFair US, the worldâ€™s largest legal online gaming company, isnâ€™t confident that the bills will get their proper hearing in Congress soon. â€œThe challenges those bills … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Gambling, Regulations | Tagged 2009, 2010, 2011, Barney Franck, BetFair, BetFair US, BetFair USA, Betting, Gambling, Gerard Cunningham, Internet betting, Internet betting and gambling, Internet gambling, laws, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, The Soorting Exchange USA, The Sporting Exchange, The Sporting Exchange US, United States Of America, USA | Leave a comment

Will the USA legalize real-money gambling and betting over the Internet? — CNBC video

Posted on November 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Odds Favoring Online Gambling? – CNBC – Andrew Parmentire, Height Analytics – David Katz, Oppenheimer gaming analyst Download this post to watch the CNBC video –if your feed reader doesn’t show it to you: Via Alexander Ainslie et al. Addendum: … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Betting, Business, Gambling, Politics, Regulations, The Global Economy | Tagged Andrew Parmentire, Barney Franck, Betting, CNBC, David Katz, Gambling, gaming, Global Gaming Expo, Height Analytics, Internet betting, Internet gambling, Internet gambling and betting, Internet Gaming, laws, legalization, online gambling, online gaming, Oppenheimer, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations | Leave a comment

Taxing real-money prediction markets to solve the US public deficits?

Posted on July 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Three U.S. states are pushing plans for video poker and slot machines as their legislators hope gambling income will compensate for declines in taxes.

Posted in Betting, Business, Gambling, Regulations | Tagged Betting, Gambling, laws, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, taxes | 2 Comments

Free Prediction Market Data — Trading Fees

Posted on May 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

If you think of it, the business model of BetFair and InTrade should be to deliver free prediction market data to the world, while leveraging trading fees on the bettors. Agree?

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged BetFair, bettors, business models, free, InTrade, prediction market data, prediction market prices, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, traders | 8 Comments

Google, Yahoo, Microsoft Want to Legalize For-Money Prediction Markets.

Posted on May 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Google, Yahoo, Microsoft Want to Legalize For-Money Prediction Markets.

Posted in Regulations | Tagged laws, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations | Leave a comment

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