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- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
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Tag Archives: Google Web Search
Google Squared is a big piece of crap.
Try “prediction markets” and “collective forecasting”. Gimme Wolfram instead. Technologizer: [Wolfram] Alpha, while imperfect, is ready to do all sorts of useful things right now. Squared feels more like the initial proof of concept for something that may take years … Continue reading
Posted in Information Technology
Tagged Google, Google Internet Search, Google Squared, Google Web Search, Search Engines
8 Comments
Emile Servan-Schreiber coined the term “collective forecasting”… Robin Hanson popularized it…
… and Midas Oracle is reaping all the benefits. I am laughing thru my a**.
How come prediction exchanges are ranking so low for American Idol?
Midas Oracle has received many visitors from Google this week, thanks to the great work of Ryan from HubDub. I tried to understand why. Turn out when you type “american idol prediction market” (you can add the “s” at the … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce
Tagged American Idol, BetFair, Google Internet Search, Google Search, Google Web Search, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, HubDub, InTrade, prediction exchanges, prediction market industry, prediction market startups, prediction markets, Search Engines
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Google Wonder Wheel – Prediction Markets
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No prediction market archives on the Web = No search engines for prediction market data
I raved the other day about the coming of search engines for (public) data, and I dreamed up about search engines for prediction market data. What I completely forgot to mention is that most of prediction exchanges don’t publish their … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Information Technology, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, Google, Google Search, Google Web Search, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, public data, public prediction exchanges, public prediction markets, Search Engines, Stephen Wolfram, Wolfram, Wolfram Alpha
4 Comments
Could Google Have Caught Swine Flu (a.k.a. Mexican Flu, or H1N1) Early?
Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet
Tagged diseases, flu, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google Flu Trends, Google Search, Google Trends, Google Web Search, influenza, keywords, Mexican Flu, predicting, Predictions, search engine requests, Search Engines, Swine Flu. H1N1
1 Comment
There is an apetite for socially valuable predictions and forecasts, out there.
That post had no original content. Just the republication of the HubDub prediction market charts. (I will update that post with new links to InTrade and IEM.) P.S.: I will show you the InTrade charts, later on. But as you … Continue reading
Google users are digging around to get the probability of a Swine Flu pandemy.
- Interestingly, the results are very different with “swine flu predictions”. Predictify is above HubDub in both cases, you’ll notice. – External Links: – Google Trends – Google Insights for Search Previously: Swine Flu Prediction Markets
Predicting the Present with Google Trends
Predicting the Present with Google Trends – (PDF file) – by Al Varian et al. Google Trends + Google Insights For Search Via Prof Levitt Previously: Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet
Tagged Al Varian, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google, Google Insights for Search, Google Search, Google Trends, Google Web Search, lagging indicators, leading indicators, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Search Engines, search traffic
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