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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: forecasting
Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
Did Eric Zitzewitz read Dodd-Frank? Jason Ruspini: Unfortunately, election contracts and ALL event contracts appear to be prohibited by CFTC regulation 40.11, released in July 2011 as part of Dodd-Frank: “(a) Prohibition. A registered entity shall not list for trading … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged academia, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, Dodd-Frank, Economics, Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, forecasting, Jason Ruspini, laws, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research
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Keeping score of experts’ forecasts — [VIDEO]
Philip Tetlock:
Though not a legal, registered financial advisor, Justin Wolfers hands out financial ‘advice’ to anyone who is foolish enough to listen. — [SCREENSHOT]
More. – “A financial adviser or stock broker should be licensed to provide any consultation on investment in securities.” -
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts, Regulations
Tagged 2012 elections, 2012 US presidential election, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, financial advisor, financial advisors, forecasting, forecasts, GOP, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, laws, Mitt Romney, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Regulations, Republican candidates, Republican Party, Republican primary, republicans, Rick Perry
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Ex-HSX Max Keiser claims that InTrade’s Ron Paul prediction market is manipulated. — [VIDEO]
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, News, Politics
Tagged Alex Jones, Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, event derivative market, event derivatives, forecasting, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, manipulation, market manipulation, Max Keiser, Politics, predicting, prediction market, prediction markets, radio, Ron Paul, US politics
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The Great Global Warming Swindle — [VIDEO]
CERN Experiment Confirms Cosmic Rays Can Influence Climate Change.
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task — [PAPER]
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task: We conducted laboratory experiments for analyzing the accuracy of three structured approaches (nominal groups, Delphi, and prediction markets) relative to traditional face-to-face meetings (FTF). We recruited 227 … Continue reading