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Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: Democratic party
InTrade traders are predicting that Barack Obama will win the 2012 presidential election. – [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]
InTrade CEO John Delaney on CNBC (January 25, 2011). [Download this post to watch the embedded video, if your feed reader does not show it to you.] Barack Obama re-election prediction market:
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Predictions - Forecasts
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Tagged 2012 political elections, Barack Obama, bets, Betting, betting markets, Democratic party, elections, event derivative markets, event derivatives, political elections, Politics, prediction markets, US politics
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Barack Obama re-election prediction market – [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Predictions - Forecasts
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Tagged 2012 political elections, Barack Obama, bets, Betting, betting markets, Democratic party, elections, event derivative markets, event derivatives, political elections, Politics, prediction markets, US politics
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State Polls vs. Prediction Markets — 2008 US Presidential Election Prediction
Here are the latest (and last) state polls and prediction market probabilities. I am writing this post at 10:00 am —on Tuesday, November 4, 2008. – Contents a visual roundup of the prediction market probabilities for the 2008 US electoral … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US congressional elections, BetFair, betting exchanges, betting markets, charts, dashboard, Democratic party, democrats, electoral college, electoral college prediction markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecast, Forecasting (Science & Practice), GOP, HubDub, Independents, InTrade, Midas Oracle, NewsFutures, next US Congress, next US president, objective probabilistic predictions, play-money prediction markets, political elections dashboard, political elections forecast, political elections predictions, political prediction markets, polls, polls versus prediction markets, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, prediction markets beat polls, Predictions, probabilistic predictions, probabilities, real-money prediction markets, Republican Party, republicans, state polls, Thrid Parties, TradeFair, TradeSports, U.S. House of Representatives, United States Of America, US Congress, US Congress prediction, US congressional elections, US elections, US political elections, US politics, US President, US President prediction, US presidential elections, US Senate, US states, USA, vote predictor
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2008 US electoral map prediction for the 2008 US presidential elections
Folks, – IMPORTANT NOTE: – Till Election Day, this present blog (Midas Oracle .ORG) is going to update you once in a while about the horse race thru the lens of the prediction markets. – Additionally, the other blog (Midas … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US congressional elections, BetFair, betting exchanges, betting markets, charts, dashboard, Democratic party, democrats, electoral college, electoral college prediction markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecast, Forecasting (Science & Practice), GOP, HubDub, Independents, InTrade, NewsFutures, next US Congress, next US president, objective probabilistic predictions, play-money prediction markets, political elections dashboard, political elections forecast, political elections predictions, political prediction markets, polls, polls versus prediction markets, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, prediction markets beat polls, Predictions, probabilistic predictions, probabilities, real-money prediction markets, Republican Party, republicans, Thrid Parties, TradeFair, TradeSports, U.S. House of Representatives, United States Of America, US Congress, US Congress prediction, US congressional elections, US elections, US political elections, US politics, US President, US President prediction, US presidential elections, US Senate, US states, USA, vote predictor
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2008 US Presidential and Congressional Elections Prediction: The Sarah Palin effect has partially evaporated, but its remains point to a close race, come Tuesday, November 4, 2008.
#1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a market for a contract that yields payments based on the outcome of a partially uncertain future event, such as an election. A contract pays $100 only if candidate X … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US congressional elections, bet exchanges, BetFair, betting exchanges, betting markets, charts, dashboard, Democratic party, democrats, electoral college, electoral college prediction markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecast, Forecasting (Science & Practice), GOP, HubDub, Independents, InTrade, Midas Oracle, NewsFutures, next US Congress, next US president, objective probabilistic predictions, play-money prediction markets, political elections dashboard, political elections forecast, political elections predictions, political prediction markets, polls, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, prediction markets beat polls, Predictions, probabilistic predictions, probabilities, real-money prediction markets, Republican Party, republicans, Thrid Parties, TradeFair, TradeSports, U.S. House of Representatives, United States Of America, US Congress, US Congress prediction, US congressional elections, US elections, US political elections, US politics, US President, US President prediction, US presidential elections, US Senate, US states, USA, vote predictor
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2008 US Elections Prediction: John McCain is now the favorite at InTrade, while all the other prediction exchanges still have Barack Obama ahead. Is InTrade quicker to incorporate the latest polls because of the bigger liquidity of its prediction markets?
#1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a market for a contract that yields payments based on the outcome of a partially uncertain future event, such as an election. A contract pays $100 only if candidate X … Continue reading →
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Resources - References
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Tagged 2008 electoral map prediction, 2008 US congressional elections, 2008 US elections, 2008 US elections prediction, 2008 US presidential elections, America, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic party, electoral college, electoral college prediction markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, GOP, HubDub, IEM, InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, John McCain, NewsFutures, next US Congress, next US president, objective probabilistic predictions, play-money prediction markets, political elections dashboard, political elections forecast, political elections predictions, Politics, polls, prediction markets, prediction markets beat polls, probabilistic predictions, real-money prediction markets, Republican Party, TradeSports, U.S. House of Representatives, United States Of America, US Congress, US Congress prediction, US congressional elections, US politics, US President prediction, US presidential elections, US Senate, USA, vote predictor
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2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: The 2008 US elections thru the prism of the prediction markets — 2008 US presidential and congressional elections — US President Prediction + US Congress Prediction — Barack Obama vs. John McCain
- #1. Explainer On Prediction Markets – A prediction market is a market for a contract that yields payments based on the outcome of a partially uncertain future event, such as an election. A contract pays $100 only if candidate … Continue reading →
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 electoral map prediction, 2008 US congressional elections, 2008 US elections, 2008 US electoral map prediction, 2008 US presidential elections, America, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic party, democrats, electoral college, electoral college prediction markets, electoral map, electoral map prediction, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Forecasting (Science & Practice), GOP, HubDub, IEM, Independents, InTrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, John McCain, NewsFutures, next US Congress, next US president, objective probabilistic predictions, play-money prediction markets, political elections dashboard, political elections forecast, political elections predictions, Politics, polls, prediction markets, prediction markets beat polls, probabilistic predictions, real-money prediction markets, Republican Party, republicans, Thrid Parties, U.S. House of Representatives, United States Of America, US Congress, US Congress prediction, US congressional elections, US elections, US politics, US President prediction, US presidential elections, US Senate, USA, vote predictor
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NewsFutures is the most usable prediction exchange I know of.
Each time I get to trade on a NewsFutures-run prediction market, I have the pleasure of my life. Better than sex. – A Democrat will be elected President in 2008. © NewsFutures – Plus, it’s easy to embed their dynamic … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Usability, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Democratic party, democrats, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Internet Usability, Market Trading, NewsFutures, play-money prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, President, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, usability
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Barack Obama is the “presumptive” nominee of the Democratic party.
Cocky HubDub has just expired the contract. InTrade and BetFair did not. InTrade will expire the Democratic candidate contract when the Democratic party declares their nominee at their convention. BetFair does not state anything. Maybe they’re too shy to tell. … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry, Politics
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Andrew Sulivan, Barack Obama, BetFair, Brad Stewart, Democratic, Democratic candidate, Democratic party, Hillary Clinton, HubDub, InTrade, Politics, prediction markets, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections
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75,000 people turned out to hear Barack Obama at Waterfront Park, Portland, Oregon, U.S.A.
- Oregon’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – Kentucky’s Democratic Primary – InTrade – BetFair – NewsFutures Some delegates from FL or MI will be seated at the Democratic Convention. © NewsFutures – First look at individual states for … Continue reading →
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
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Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Democratic candidate, Democratic party, democrats, Florida, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Kentucky, meta forecasting tools, Montana, NewsFutures, Oregon, Politics, Portland, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, Waterfront Park, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party
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