Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Tag Archives: Blogs

A new blog on InTrade’s prediction markets: Prediction (Market) Insights

Prediction (Market) Insights… by Anonymous
Best wishes to him/her. I hope that he/she will reveal his/her ID in the future. “Wiser Than The Crowd” is the wrong role model in that regard, triple alas.
Addendum:
Thanks to my Deep Throats, I know roughly who “Wiser Than The Crowd” is. He did not lie. He indeed works for a [...]

WordPress blog hacked: What to do, now?

A nasty hacker has taught a lesson to research scientist David Pennock. The lesson is that our WordPress blogs are not secure, and we should be pro-active in reinforcing their line of defense. David Pennock’s post describing how his blog was hacked is worth reading if you own a self-hosted WordPress blog. Here are the [...]

Type “GE Imagination Market” in Google, and you’ll see prediction market journalism, *first* —and, after that, the spin done by the companies in question.

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The Daily Chuck = the best blog on prediction markets

Well, that is, if you put aside Midas Oracle, Freakonomics, Wiser Than The Crowd, Mercury, and Odd Head.
The Daily Chuck is written by… Chuck… the pseudo of a collegian from Florida. It is focused on InTrade’s prediction markets. I like that. You should too.

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The Future of Media: 2009

I have watched many times this great video capturing the thoughts of a bunch of Internet celebrities —recorded at New York University (minus Prof Panos).
Does anyone know how to download that damn UStream video? Contact moi, or tweet moi. Thanks.

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Very useful tools for following on blog posts

You might have noticed this series of small icons at the bottom of our posts:

- THE PDF ICON: It allows you to get the PDF file of the post. You can download the document in PDF format for free.
- THE TWITTER ICON: It allows you to tweet the post on your own Twitter account —this [...]

A new glimpse into the revamped Overcoming Bias

Robin Hanson:
Chris, Eliezer was not “purged.” He requested to have his old posts moved to Less Wrong. No one else has made any similar request.
Eliezer was not “expelled”; he choose to move in order to build a community at Less Wrong using fancy comment karma software. The folks who wrote software for his new site [...]

What makes a good blog, and how much can you value a popular blog?

So, how does our Master Of All Universes justify his expelling of his co-bloggers?
Overcoming Bias began in November ‘06 as a group blog on the general theme of how to move our beliefs closer to reality, in the face of our natural biases such as overconfidence and wishful thinking, and our bias to believe we [...]

Robin Hanson has overhauled his (ex-group) blog.

- Overcoming Bias is now a solo blog. (His conspirators are now grouped at Less Wrong.)
- His blog is on with a new webhost, and is probably not powered by TypePad anymore —I highly suspect WordPress. – (He should have chosen WordPress from day one, instead of listening sheepishly to his GMU acolyte. [...]

Why BetFair and InTrade as media can’t be trusted

TechCrunch:
As a consumer, when’s the last time you read an advertorial and walked away inspired or informed?
Never.
And this is my version of the question:
As a consumer, when’s the last time you read a post by BetFair Predicts and walked away inspired or informed?
Never, as for moi. Do give your answer in the comments. Commercial companies [...]

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