Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Category Archives: Resources & References

A new blog on InTrade’s prediction markets: Prediction (Market) Insights

Prediction (Market) Insights… by Anonymous
Best wishes to him/her. I hope that he/she will reveal his/her ID in the future. “Wiser Than The Crowd” is the wrong role model in that regard, triple alas.
Addendum:
Thanks to my Deep Throats, I know roughly who “Wiser Than The Crowd” is. He did not lie. He indeed works for a [...]

Our industry needs a third Wikipedia page.

Collective Forecasting @ Wikipedia
Prediction Markets @ Wikipedia
Betting Exchanges @ Wikipedia
–> Wikipedians, let’s create a Wikipedia page on collective forecasting.

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Eric Crampton’s avatar at Twitter

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The Daily Chuck = the best blog on prediction markets

Well, that is, if you put aside Midas Oracle, Freakonomics, Wiser Than The Crowd, Mercury, and Odd Head.
The Daily Chuck is written by… Chuck… the pseudo of a collegian from Florida. It is focused on InTrade’s prediction markets. I like that. You should too.

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Guess who is on Twitter.

Prof Lance Fortnow.

His buddy, our good doctor David Pennock, will soon “follow” Lance Fortnow’s steps, and manage a Twitter account, I bet.

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Global Foresight

Speaking of networking, here is an interesting LinkedIn group: Global Foresight. Robin Hanson (well known to be a very picky guy) is a member, so it can’t be bad. – Our good friend Mike Linksvayer, too, I just see.
GlobalForesight.org is a nonprofit ASF initiative to find and connect our planet’s foresight students, alums, [...]

Vernon Smith’s publisher

Author House
Self-publishing FAQ

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Wikipedia is cracking down on self-serving edits.

Wikipedia is cracking down on self-serving edits.
This guy should watch out.

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Robin Hanson has overhauled his (ex-group) blog.

- Overcoming Bias is now a solo blog. (His conspirators are now grouped at Less Wrong.)
- His blog is on with a new webhost, and is probably not powered by TypePad anymore —I highly suspect WordPress. – (He should have chosen WordPress from day one, instead of listening sheepishly to his GMU acolyte. [...]

You Bet: a bad book about BetFair

According to somebody who has read the book, the content is “rubbish” and the book is “poorly edited”. According to my source, you won’t learn anything that you already know about BetFair, and the book on the history of The Sporting Exchange is yet to be written.

Previously

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