Category Archives: Collective Forecasting
BRITISH CRETINERY: The Financial Times features the InTrade probabilities —not the BetFair ones.
This is really stupid. The decerebrated journalos at the FT chose to feature the illiquid, Ireland-based, un-regulated InTrade prediction markets instead of the very liquid, UK-based, regulated BetFair prediction markets on the next British congress.
Makes no sense at all.
The BetFair PR boys have an omelet on their face. They should work harder.
DISAMBIGUATION: The “illiquid” adjective [...]
Max Keiser weighs in on potential insider trading and hypothetical manipulation in the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade.
Max says that the political prediction markets are “routinely manipulated” and we often see “price rigging”…
9:57 into:
Previously: What has been the best InTrade prediction market ever? Has the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade been “ahead of the commentary”?
What has been the best InTrade prediction market ever? Has the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade been “ahead of the commentary”?
Jason Ruspini (who feels that the health care reform proposal might well be adopted) wanna feedback from you, folks.
Which InTrade prediction market(s) has/have been ahead of the Press (rather than the other way around)? What is/are the best (most divergent from the commentary, and correct) InTrade prediction market(s) in people’s memories?
Do you sense that the [...]
CrowdCast + SAP
Business Objects + Prediction Markets
Dear MO reader: Why you should try Predictalot
Why should you try Predictalot?
Gamers: Make almost any prediction you can think of about March Madness, the NCAA men’s basketball tournament.
Sports fans: Check the crowd’s odds: Is St. Mary’s the next Cinderella?
Economists: Play with a true combinatorial prediction market with 9.2 quintillion outcomes and a single pool of liquidity, unlike almost any other of today’s [...]
CrowdPark = collective forecasting in German
http://www.crowdpark.de/
Everything is explained in German on their blog. Sounds cool. It would be interesting to have an English version.
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