Monthly Archives: March 2010

“They made a mistake haha. They asked me to make it for them.”

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

The bottom line: it is not the idea that is important; it is the execution.

Posted in Business, History | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hyping enterprise prediction markets in Mashable

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Matt Fogarty of CrowdCast: Business leaders rely on metrics and data to inform decisions around new products and opportunities, but traditional forecasting methods suffer from bias and lack of first-hand information. That’s why business forecasting is an ideal target for … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Predictalot David Pennock explains Predictalot.

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

How does professor Lance Fortnow use Twitter?

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Lance “P NP” Fortnow explains his usage of Twitter. Jason Ruspini and David Pennock should listen.

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Greece owns buildings, companies and uninhabited islands, which could all be used for debt redemption.

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

I love the idea, but would our good friend George Tziralis (Ask Markets & Open Fund) agree? 2,000 islands; 227 of those islands are inhabited. Sell them all.

Posted in Finance, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The future of the prediction markets is on the smartphones.

Posted on March 4, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Here are 2 facts: “In three years, desktops will be irrelevant.” – [More.] The future of mobile computing is Flash free. –> BetFair does not seem to be getting #2.

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Joe Weisenthal is now in bed with InTrade.

Posted on March 4, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Business Insider cites various InTrade probabilities. Joe should mention whether there is volume on each market. Joe should cite BetFair, not InTrade, for any UK-related event. Joe should be aware of InTrade’s long history of fucking up contracts and settlements … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The secret service that BetFair uses internally to monitor its web buzz

Posted on March 4, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Spot “BetFair Today” in the list:

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PubSubHubbub + PuSHPress

Posted on March 4, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

I have just installed the PuSHPress plugin, and this post is a test to see whether it works. If yes, this post should be indexed quickly by Google Reader (and other feed readers). Filed in “Real-Time Web“. UPDATE: I am … Continue reading →

Posted in Information Technology, Midas Oracle Administration, Search Engine Optimization | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

DOCUMENTED: How Mark Davies joined a small startup called BetFair —when it was just an Excel spreadsheet file

Posted on March 4, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Read the whole thing, it is entertaining.

Posted in Business, Entrepreneurship, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment