Monthly Archives: June 2008

“Malta Lotteries And Gaming Authority: a governmental regulatory body which is worthless and ineffectual.”

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

… says that guy. I’m surprised and disappointed. -

Posted in Ethics, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Justin Wolfers = Open Researcher

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

“Open” in the sense described in this document. Consider this: The ungated version of a document is provided. The references are provided in a special file The pieces of evidence are stated in a special file. The raw data are … Continue reading →

Posted in Economics, Ethics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

How come John Salvatier’s comment to the CFTC has not appeared on their website already?

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Are comments that favor FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges censored by the CFTC? I want to see John’s comment appear here. – I’ll interpret any censorship as a neo-cons’ black op. -

Posted in Regulations | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

“Don’t ask the experts. Ask the prediction markets. They know better.”

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

I would rather say: Trust the experts, but do use an information aggregation mechanism to average their forecasts, so that you eliminate extreme forecasts. – - – Ask Markets -

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The World Is Flat.

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The chart maps social interactions on the Microsoft Messenger instant-messaging system. Their study represents the largest social network constructed and analyzed to date… -

Posted in The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

James Surowiecki was in Texas (Michael Giberson’s new land), yesterday, spinning educators (interested in technology) about prediction markets and collective intelligence.

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

National Educational Computing Conference (“the premier forum in which to learn, exchange, and survey the field of educational technology“) Classic stuff about the wisdom of crowds, but people enjoyed it. -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The news article that John Delaney will read with great attention this Monday morning

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via “Him Who Knows” Upcoming changes of Ireland’s gambling and betting laws -

Posted in Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Exchange for trading digital bits

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

New York Times You would trade both the bits and the way the software packages deal with those bits —the problem is that you need standards. -

Posted in Business, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

The CFTC is going to close the comments in 7 days. We have 7 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges (e.g., InTrade USA or BetFair USA), and counter the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- THE MIDAS ORACLE TAKES: – CALL TO ACTION: Let’s fight so that the CFTC allows the FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges to deal with “event markets”. – In the for-profit vs not-for-profit debate, our prediction market luminaries, doctored by Bob, are … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

How to optimize your prediction market blog (e.g., Midas Oracle, Caveat Bettor) or prediction exchange website (e.g., InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, NewsFutures, HubDub) for Google Web Search —and all the other search engines out there.

Posted on June 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Interview of Google’s Matt Cutts by USA Today. The basic SEO tips. -

Posted in Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment