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Tag Archives: vice presidential prediction markets
Mitt Romney [or Sarah Palin] will be the Republican vice presidential nominee.
Tim Pawlenty won’t go in Dayton, Ohio. So, it’s Mitt Romney. The play-money and real-money prediction markets were easily fooled with the Pawlenty rumors, yesterday. That vindicates my message that the VP prediction markets feed on unreliable primary indicators. I … Continue reading →
Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
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Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, John McCain, Mitt Romney, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Republican vice presidential nominee, Tim Pawlenty, US politics, vice president, vice presidential prediction markets, vice presidents, VP, VP prediction markets, VPs
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