Tim Pawlenty won’-t go in Dayton, Ohio. So, it’-s Mitt Romney.
The play-money and real-money prediction markets were easily fooled with the Pawlenty rumors, yesterday.
That vindicates my message that the VP prediction markets feed on unreliable primary indicators.
I said from day one to be careful with the VP prediction markets.
I told you so.
UPDATE: It’-s probably Sarah Palin.
[…] UPDATE: No, it is probably Mitt Romney. […]
Romney?
Not according to the consensus at InTrade as of about 9 AM EDT.
Romney (and Pawlenty and many others) have had contract prices tank, while in the “Field” version of the VP market, the Field contract has shot up around 90.
In the “Others upon request” VP market, Sarah Palin is at 40 and their has been a notable tick up for Tom Ridge. Romney and Pawlenty are both under 10.
[…] for my previous post about Mitt Romney. I consulted the political news websites before InTrade. ) Sarah […]
I fucked it up. I corrected on the post, and I published another post.