Tag Archives: Republican vice presidential nominee

Like the New Hampshire prediction markets, the “Sarah Palin as the Republican vice-presidential nominee” prediction markets (from InTrade, BetFair and HubDub) are bringing a bad reputation to the whole prediction market industry.

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The ubber president of the Pennock fan club responds to Felix Salmon.

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Sarah… Who?

She is at 59% as I type this. (Sorry for my previous post about Mitt Romney. I consulted the political news websites before InTrade. )

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Mitt Romney [or Sarah Palin] will be the Republican vice presidential nominee.

Tim Pawlenty won’t go in Dayton, Ohio. So, it’s Mitt Romney. The play-money and real-money prediction markets were easily fooled with the Pawlenty rumors, yesterday. That vindicates my message that the VP prediction markets feed on unreliable primary indicators. I … Continue reading

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Tim… Who?

Link to the InTrade prediction market. Below, I try to hot-link to the chart, I’m not sure at this point it will work. We will see.

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A noun, a verb, and POW

John McCain will announce soon who will be the Republican vice presidential nominee. Reading the Press this early Thursday morning does not give any insider’s clues. New York Times Politico – - Will Mitt Romney be McCain’s Vice Presidential nominee?

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