Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Tag Archives: Nigel Eccles

Inkling Markets and HubDub in TechCrunch

- Inkling Markets infiltrated TechCrunch 6 times.
- HubDub did that a lot more.
Nigel Eccles for President…!!!…

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HubDub’s Nigel Eccles thumbs his nose at Nate Silver.

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Barney Kilgore and Nigel Eccles: Same vision, same combat

The general manager of ProPublica:
Today’s newspaper should be about tomorrow’s events, not yesterday’s. This was probably [Barney] Kilgore’s greatest insight, and it was one he first stated as a columnist in the Journal at the age of 23. Readers, Kilgore realized, turn to newspapers not because they are all fascinated by contemporary history, and want [...]

HubDub CEO on Max Keiser’s The Oracle (BBC World News)

Cory Doctorow likes Max Keiser’s TV show — I do too.
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Although I don’t agree with them politically, Max Keiser is exceptionally charismatic and funny, and Stacy Herbert is very lively and competent.
Max needs to invite a guest who is as lively and as literate in finance than he is. Otherwise, “The Oracle” will remain his [...]

Are prediction markets on deaths and assassinations SOMETIMES acceptable?

BELOW IS THE CHART OF A SETTLED PREDICTION MARKET:
Will Patrick Swayze die before April 15, 2008?

It was settled on “no”.
HubDub CEO Nigel Eccles thinks that his traders “quickly came to the conclusion that the [early 2008] story [giving him 5 weeks to live] was bogus.” And Nigel Eccles asks, “Is this an example where a [...]

The new Hollywood Stock Exchange website (recently redesigned) sucks as much as an indigestible fruit cake.

HSX-sucks.com — I predict that somebody will soon register this domain name.
Many HSX event derivative traders have complained to me privately about the website redesign: they hate it more than they hate the recent financial bailout. One HSX trader went off on the Prediction Markets group discussion area at LinkedIn. Today, another HSX trader is [...]

HubDub, the prediction exchange that Justin Wolfers didn’t cite in his Freakonomics/WSJ column

Video

HubDub
Previously: About Justin Wolfers’s column

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Emile Servan-Schreiber’s Jedi mind tricks didn’t work on Nigel Eccles.

The conversation ended up on a draw.
Robin Hanson was AWOL.

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HubDub’s Nigel Eccles ridiculizes Paul Kedrosky’s post bashing the prediction markets after the Sarah Palin upset.

Hilarious.
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