Tag Archives: insider trading

Max Keiser: Cantor Exchange and Media Derivatives Exchange would be an “insiders/traders’s paradise”.

Posted on April 30, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Max Keiser – 12:00 into (17,000 views already): I disagree with Max that a prediction market quote can change perceptions that much.

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Regulations | Tagged Bart Chilton, betting markets, box-office derivatives, Cantor Exchange, Cantor Fitzgerald, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, futures, Hollywood, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HSX, insider trading, insiders, Max Keiser, MDEX, Media Derivatives, Media Derivatives Exchange, Motion Picture Association Of America, movie box office, movie business, movie futures, movies, prediction markets, traders, trading, Trend Exchange | Leave a comment

InTrade prediction markets “got health care wrong”… — dixit Daniel Gross of Slate, a site I will no longer read.

Posted on March 23, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Slate’s Daniel Gross: Don’t Short Obama Why political futures markets got the health care bill so wrong. By Daniel Gross Posted Monday, March 22, 2010, at 6:05 PM ET It would be very difficult to tote up all the times … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged Barack Obama, betting markets, Daniel Gross, democrats, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, ObamaCare, prediction markets, republicans, Scott Brown, Slate | 4 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its 2012 Republication Nomination prediction markets?

Posted on March 23, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

A mysterious InTrade forum user (could be a trader or could be John Delaney) has posted this: ***** Newbie Joined: 24/01/2010 15:58:35 Messages: 1 Original thread at midasoracle.org: So the actor has to a) not care about the transaction fee … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, prediction markets | 2 Comments

Does InTrade participate on its own prediction markets?

Posted on March 19, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

One (anonymous) InTrade trader: I am utterly convinced Intrade participates in its own markets. Every few hours some kind of API hits the bids on the GOP 2012 nomination contract when the bids sum to more 100. It will even … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Trading | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, prediction markets | 2 Comments

What was Max Keiser doing at InTrade HQ two years ago? –> “due diligence”…!??…

Posted on March 19, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Max Keiser: [...] I asked John Delaney and his tech team when I was doing my due diligence on InTrade a couple of years ago in Dublin â€“ about the firmâ€™s own participation in making markets â€“ and the potential … Continue reading →

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged betting markets, due diligence, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, Max Keiser, prediction markets | Leave a comment

“InTrade should address this incident and suspend the account of whoever did this.”

Posted on March 17, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Dixit Jason Ruspini.

Posted in Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, Politics, prediction markets, US politics | 2 Comments

OBAMACARE PREDICTION MARKET WAS BRIEFLY MANIPULATED YESTERDAY EVENING SO IT WOULD ARTIFICIALLY CLOSE AT $35. – [CHART]

Posted on March 17, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

IT IS NOW BACK TO ABOVE $60. See Jason Ruspini’s comment. UPDATE: Carlos Graterol. Joe Weisenthal. Gawker. Max Keiser. ADDENDUM More info on health care reform on Memeorandum and Politico.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, Politics, prediction markets, US politics | 11 Comments

Max Keiser weighs in on potential insider trading and hypothetical manipulation in the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade.

Posted on March 16, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Max says that the political prediction markets are “routinely manipulated” and we often see “price rigging”… 9:57 into: Previously: What has been the best InTrade prediction market ever? Has the ObamaCare prediction market at InTrade been â€œahead of the commentaryâ€?

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, Max Keiser, Politics, prediction markets, Russia Today, US politics | 4 Comments

PROVEN AND DOCUMENTED: Joe Weisenthal is drunken with his own manipulation paranoia.

Posted on March 11, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Joe is going off the deep end. Market noises are now interpreted as the intergalactic battle between the pro-HCR and the anti-HCR, who are both seeking to manipulate the InTrade prediction markets. No evidence whatsoever is displayed. P.S: I am … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism | Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics | 2 Comments

Health care reform is down to 47% at InTrade. –> Toss a coin, it will get you the same.

Posted on March 10, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

So much for the “insider trading” who signaled the certainty of the adoption of the new health care reform bill. Joe Weisenthal swallowed InTrade CEO’s marketing bait. More on Memeorandum. Previously: Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health … Continue reading →

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