Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Alex Kirtland

Interview with Alex Costakis of Hollywood Stock Exchange and Cantor Exchange

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 15, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Interview with Alex Costakis of Hollywood Stock Exchange and Cantor Exchange

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Software | Also tagged , , ,

So, now, when our good friend Alex Kirtland (a talented Internet usability expert, and a sweet friend of the prediction markets) blogs favorably about InTrade, TradeSports, or John Delaney, we should take it with a grain of salt. –> $$$

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 15, 2008 — Leave a Comment

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Posted in Business, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Usability | Also tagged , , , , , , ,

News Aggregation + Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

On Wednesday, January 30, 2008, at 9:00 AM PST (12:00 PM EST; 5:00 PM GMT; 6:00 PM CET), dollar-thirsty Nigel Eccles (pictured above) will be introducing HubDub at DEMO 2008 (one of the best IT conferences, along with eTech, LeWeb, CES, etc.). The DEMO website will be live-streaming the presentation video.
My best wishes go to [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Chart Highlighting = Prediction Market Chart + Imaging Software

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 24, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Take this chart (used by Justin Wolfers in the WSJ). Which software package should you use to color parts of this chart (e.g., pre-Iowa vs. post-Iowa), and insert impacting news markers (e.g., the Michigan race)? Nigel Eccles probably knows but won’t tell.
In other words, how could you make Justin Wolfers’ prediction market analysis [...]

Posted in Information Technology, Internet Usability | Also tagged , , , , , ,

Prediction markets are forecasting tools of convenience that feed on advanced indicators.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 9, 2008 — 3 Comments

Why were the political prediction markets so wrong about Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire?
…asks Slate’s Daniel Gross —via Mister Usability (Alex Kirtland), who needs to go and get his own gravatar.
So, I’ve been watching the action in one of the political futures markets this evening, Intrade. And the action in this prediction [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

INTERNET USABILITY EXPERT ALEX KIRTLAND SLAMS NEWSFUTURES’ AWFUL COMPOUND CHARTING.

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 21, 2007 — Leave a Comment

This is, quite frankly, some of the worst interaction design I’ve ever seen.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , ,

eBay = improving user experience + nurturing innovation

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 19, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Our good friend Alex Kirtland has a long interview of Alan Lewis of eBay:

Photo: Alan Lewis
Alex Kirtland: Finally, Meg Whitman recently talked about how important improving the eBay user experience is to success of eBay. How has that had an impact on the culture / work style of eBay’s development teams?
Alan Lewis: This shift has [...]

Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Inventions & Innovations | Also tagged , , , , ,

Prediction markets at the Money Tech conference

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 21, 2007 — 2 Comments

Money Tech conference = Technology and Money, Asset Management and Networks, Computing Horsepower and Trading + Prediction Markets
Robin Hanson will be presenting on prediction markets at the Money Tech conference. He is not yet on the official program, but our friend (and prediction market skeptic) Barry Ritholtz tells us that Robin Hanson was at the [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged , ,

Tuesday Morning QuarterBack To Death + Evolution Of Chris Masse’s Wealth At NewsFutures

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 12, 2007 — 1 Comment

I’ve just sold all my Harry Potter event derivatives. I was making nightmares about losing all my bucks there —with Niall O’Connor and Michael Giberson saying the bet is a loser. The price went from $74 to $65.

“cash” in green, “contracts” in blue, and “net worth” in black
Alex Kirtland, if you’re still alive, how [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , ,

Crowd IQ – Prompto?

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 5, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Alex Kirtland alerts us on the status of this Inkling-like prediction exchange / solution vendor. The Crowd IQ site seems unavailable, and Alex fears that it has bellied up.
The Crowd IQ people are friendly and open minded, as far as I can tell, having interacted with them only twice, by e-mail. I hope they will [...]

Posted in Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Software
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