Monthly Archives: April 2011

U.S. Supreme Court Prediction Market — [PAPER]

Recently posted to SSRN: FantasySCOTUS: Crowdsourcing a Prediction Market for the Supreme Court, a draft paper by Josh Blackman, Adam Aft, & Corey Carpenter assessing the accuracy of the Harlan Institute’s U.S. Supreme Court prediction market, FantasySCOTUS.org. The paper compares … Continue reading

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Cold Fusion Prediction Markets — [HISTORY]

In April 1989, Robin Hanson created this prediction market: By 1/1/91 a <1 liter device will have generated over 1 watt of power output more than input from room-T fusion, including amortized power to create/separate components. I suppose that InTrade … Continue reading

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Andrea Rossi’s cold fusion reactor (E-cat) — [LINKS]

I have posted about Andrea Rossi’s cold fusion reactor, which inputs nickel powder (with some catalysts) and hydrogen, and which outputs heat (factor 30) and copper. Since I have updated that post, I wanted to recommend you 2 interviews of … Continue reading

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Yacouba Sawadogo, the man who stopped the desert — [VIDEO]

More efficient than the FAO, the IMF and the World Bank. In French.

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On The Use of Prediction Markets in Information Security (CIA’s In-Q-Tel) — [LINK]

- Alpha version sometime in the next few months. – Conf.

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Cantor Gaming’s betting tablet shall stay in Las Vegas. — [REVIEW]

David Pennock: Cantor’s mechanism is pretty clearly an intelligent automated market maker that mixes prior knowledge and market forces [...].

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Robin Hanson’s couple vs. Justin Wolfers’ s couple — [CONTRAST]

- Robin Hanson and his wife maintains 2 separate bank accounts, and his wife is down to Earth. Marriage, despite its lack of clean edges and predictable outcomes, is one of the few institutions he seems to have no interest … Continue reading

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Energy Catalyzer (E-cat) = a cold fusion reactor that produces energy inputting hydrogen and nickel (and outputting copper) — [NEW TECH]

Andrea Rossi’s Energy Catalyzer @ Wikipedia –> It seems to work (the machine outputs 30 times the input). Andre Rossi says it is not “cold fusion” but rather low-energy nuclear reactions (LENR). Another scientist says here that cold fusion and … Continue reading

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China’s economy will surpass that of America in real terms in 2016. — [CHART]

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Larry Page’s Google — [VIDEO]

Steven Levy‘s Inside the Plex:

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