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- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
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- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
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- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
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- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
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- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: September 2010
The latest on the BetFair float
- High-rolling clients of Betfair, the betting exchange plotting an audacious £1bn-plus float, have been targeted by the Inland Revenue. – Online betting exchanges such as Betfair have revolutionised the industry — but helped destructive betting compulsions develop. Via Niall … Continue reading
Posted in Business, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets
Tagged BetFair, BetFair IPO, stock markets, stocks, The Sporting Exchange
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Quants: The Alchemists of Wall Street – [VIDEO]
Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, History
Tagged Finance, Financial Markets, Quants, Wall Street
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Sports Risk Index would allow you to hedge risks on sport prediction markets.
The patent. The latest developments. (audio) I am skeptical, since the US Congress has just outlawed movie prediction markets, but I wish good luck to Chris Rabelais et al. Maybe the political scene will be different next year, who knows. … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Hedging & Insurance
Tagged betting markets, CFTC, Chris Rabalais, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Crystal World Holdings, Crystal World Markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Sports, Sports Risk Index, SportsRiskIndex, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
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Jason Trost on BetFair: They haven’t innovated much, and they’re too pricey.
Jason Trost: Slow innovation: Aside from a few cosmetic tweaks, reliability improvements and the Starting Price feature, Betfair hasn’t innovated much over the last few years. For a company that boasts several hundred developers, it should be able to release … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations
Tagged BetFair, BetFair IPO, betting exchanges, betting markets, criticism, event derivative markets, exchanges, management, markets, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, The Sporting Exchange
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A somewhat simplistic, but nonetheless interesting, article in which the predictive quality of the BetFair market is slagged off, because it upsets their traditional form book study methods (by implication, of course, if they are right, then everybody could/should/would just follow the late money and win).
Niall O’Connor offers you this link for free.