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- $1 million prize for LENR — [LINK]
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
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Monthly Archives: March 2010
The sudden dip in March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market was an intentional coup.
Here’s the latest discussion.
Allegedly, an idiot pressed the wrong button on March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market. Do you buy it?
Marcus Shea: Here’s the most likely scenario as to what happened here: Somebody had a decent short position. Say they had about 65 shares (the volume bars indicate that this was likely a < 100 share transaction, ie, < $5 … Continue reading
UK political prediction markets at Smarkets
Just opened.
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, Great Britain, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, Smarkets, UK political prediction markets, UK politics, United Kingdom
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Paul Krugman Makes a Boo Boo.
In Paul Krugman’s blog entry, Done, at 4:39pm (EDT) on March 21, 2010, he commented: “OK, nothing is sure in this world. Intrade is still giving Obamacare a 2.2% chance of failing, …” He was talking about the InTrade market … Continue reading
Michael Lewis on Imus – [VIDEO]
Posted in Finance, History, The Global Economy
Tagged 2008 financial crisis, banks, capitalism, capitalists, credit, Don Imus, economic crisis, economy, Finance, financial crisis, Financial Markets, investment banks, Michael Lewis, stock markets, The Big Short, US banks, US economy, US financial markets, US stock market, Wall Street, world economy
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Does InTrade participate on its 2012 Republication Nomination prediction markets?
A mysterious InTrade forum user (could be a trader or could be John Delaney) has posted this: ***** Newbie Joined: 24/01/2010 15:58:35 Messages: 1 Original thread at midasoracle.org: So the actor has to a) not care about the transaction fee … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchange Liquidity, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Makers (Automated), Market Makers (Human), Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Market Transaction Costs
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, insider trading, InTrade, manipulation, prediction markets
2 Comments
Health Care Reform Explained
I watched part of the U.S. Health Care Reform bill passage on Sunday, March 21, 2010. Combined with the political commentary, it was pretty clear that there is a lot of misinformation. A particularly extreme right-wing viewpoint (along with moronic … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Economics, Politics, The Global Economy
Tagged Politics, United States, US politics
1 Comment
BetFair’s Mark Davis on Internet gambling regulations in the UK
The Bottom Line – Radio 4 “Evan Davis and his panel discuss rivals and regulation.“ Mark Davis was censored edited.